Sat, Nov 17, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Boston Bruins 2, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 27 | 03 | 013 | 223 |
| ARI | 010 | 111 | 012 | 133 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:12BOSJakob Forsbacka KarlssonAssists: Noel Acciari · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–0
- P1 2:45BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–0
- P2 9:10ARIBrad RichardsonAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:13BOSConnor Clifton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 12:17ARILawson Crouse: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:40BOSSean Kuraly: Kneeing2 min
- P2 0:59ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min
- P3 6:13BOSDavid Krejci: Interference2 min
- P3 18:14BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Nordstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHeinen – Forsbacka Karlsson – Acciari7:07
xG 0.54–0.09 (85%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Backes – Wagner – Kuraly7:13
xG 0.54–0.16 (77%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Krejci – Bjork – DeBrusk3:48
xG 0.19–0.04 (81%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Bjork7:11
xG 0.13–0.19 (40%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKampfer – Zboril8:23
xG 0.41–0.18 (70%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Krug – Clifton17:14
xG 0.85–0.61 (58%)attempts 11–15goals 2–0
- Grzelcyk – Lauzon15:03
xG 0.41–0.55 (43%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGrabner – Stepan – Keller5:05
xG 0.49–0.23 (69%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Stepan – Cousins – Keller3:23
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Stepan – Fischer – Keller2:43
xG 0.04–0.05 (46%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – Perlini – Crouse2:11
xG 0.04–0.06 (38%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Connauton13:47
xG 0.22–0.08 (73%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Mermis – Lyubushkin4:28
xG 0.10–0.01 (90%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Oesterle4:54
xG 0.37–0.39 (49%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).