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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 30, 2018·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 2, Florida Panthers 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 85% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 3:10Shot by McCann, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 4:32Shot by Nelson, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 5:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 5:47Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 9:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 9:39Shot by Pysyk, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 10:30Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 10:55Goal by Skinner (Reinhart, Eichel)+18 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Nelson, Pilut

  12. P1 11:18Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 11:30Shot by Matheson, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 11:48Ristolainen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Haley, Petrovic, Weegar, Lammikko · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Berglund, Ristolainen, Dahlin

  15. P1 12:02Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark5v4
  16. P1 12:11Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark5v4
  17. P1 13:56Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 15:14Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 15:46Shot by Pysyk, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 16:40Dahlin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Ekblad, McCann, Vatrano · BUF Okposo, Ristolainen, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  21. P1 17:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark5v4
  22. P1 18:31Goal by McCann (Matheson, Vatrano)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Bjugstad, Matheson, Ekblad, McCann, Vatrano · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  23. P1 19:22Shot by Reinhart, saved by Reimer
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:59Shot by Hunt, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 2:04Bjugstad: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Brouwer, Bjugstad, Pysyk, Matheson, Vatrano · BUF Okposo, Nelson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Pilut

  29. P2 2:18Shot by Eichel, saved by Reimer4v5
  30. P2 2:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Reimer4v5
  31. P2 2:41Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Ullmark)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Pysyk, Weegar, Lammikko · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  32. P2 3:20Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 1:21Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 3:46Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 4:13Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 4:51Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 6:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 6:49Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 7:00Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 8:33Shot by Dahlin, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 8:35Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 9:10Shot by Okposo, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 10:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 11:47Matheson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Dadonov, Pysyk, Matheson, McCann, Hunt · BUF Okposo, Ristolainen, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  45. P2 11:54Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Reimer4v5
  46. P2 12:42Shot by Petrovic, saved by Ullmark4v5
  47. P2 15:14Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 15:33Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 17:50Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 18:19Berglund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Hoffman, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Berglund, Ristolainen, Dahlin

  51. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:43Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 1:16Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 1:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 2:02Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 2:29Ekblad: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Sceviour, Haley, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Nelson, Pilut

  59. P3 2:46Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark4v5
  60. P3 7:07Shot by Reinhart, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 7:48Shot by Matheson, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 7:52Shot by Haley, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 8:28Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 9:38Shot by Weegar, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 10:20Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark
  66. P3 11:48Nelson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Dadonov, Pysyk, Matheson, McCann, Vatrano · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Berglund, Nelson, Pilut

  67. P3 11:55Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark5v4
  68. P3 11:56Goal by Dadonov (Huberdeau, Yandle)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  69. P3 12:38Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark
  70. P3 12:53Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 13:11Petrovic: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Haley, Petrovic, Weegar, Lammikko · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Berglund, Ristolainen, Dahlin

  72. P3 13:50Shot by Eichel, saved by Reimer4v5
  73. P3 16:52Shot by Brouwer, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 17:31Shot by Petrovic, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 18:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Reimer
  76. P3 18:53Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 18:54Shot by McCann, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 19:13Shot by Sobotka, saved by Reimer
  79. P3 19:51Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:00Period start
  83. OT 0:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Reimer3v3
  84. OT 1:46Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer3v3
  85. OT 2:26Goal by Barkov (Huberdeau, Ekblad)3v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  86. OT 2:26Period end3v3
  87. OT 2:26Final3v3