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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 8, 2018·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Nashville Predators 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 74% of the time.

CGY winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith
  3. P1 0:34Shot by Ekholm, saved by Smith
  4. P1 1:12Goal by Kylington (Lindholm, Gaudreau)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Kylington · NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Hartman, Fiala

  5. P1 5:33Shot by Kylington, saved by Saros
  6. P1 8:29Bonino: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Monahan, Bennett, Andersson, Tkachuk · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok

  7. P1 9:58Shot by Czarnik, saved by Saros5v4
  8. P1 12:00Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Smith
  9. P1 12:11Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Smith
  10. P1 12:16Brodie: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson · NSH Hamhuis, Rinaldo, Ekholm, Johansen, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  11. P1 14:19Shot by Hartman, saved by Smith
  12. P1 14:54Shot by Johansen, saved by Smith
  13. P1 15:11Shot by Brodie, saved by Saros
  14. P1 19:07Goal by Sissons (Josi, Salomaki)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Bennett, Andersson, Ryan, Tkachuk · NSH Josi, Ellis, Watson, Salomaki, Sissons

  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:32Shot by Smith, saved by Smith
  18. P2 0:53Shot by Sissons, saved by Smith
  19. P2 3:11Shot by Prout, saved by Saros
  20. P2 3:52Shot by Hamonic, saved by Saros
  21. P2 5:28Shot by Jankowski, saved by Saros
  22. P2 7:44Shot by Watson, saved by Smith
  23. P2 8:10Hamhuis: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson · NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki, Sissons

  24. P2 9:06Shot by Weber, saved by Smith5v4
  25. P2 9:54Shot by Bonino, saved by Smith5v4
  26. P2 11:09Shot by Fiala, saved by Smith
  27. P2 11:27Hathaway: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Quine, Hathaway, Mangiapane, Kylington · NSH Hamhuis, Rinaldo, Johansen, Bitetto, Fiala

  28. P2 11:27Hartman: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Quine, Hathaway, Mangiapane, Kylington · NSH Hamhuis, Rinaldo, Johansen, Bitetto, Fiala

  29. P2 11:54Shot by Andersson, saved by Saros4v4
  30. P2 11:55Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros4v4
  31. P2 12:46Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros4v4
  32. P2 13:50Shot by Fiala, saved by Smith
  33. P2 14:47Shot by Neal, saved by Saros
  34. P2 16:40Goal by Monahan (Hanifin, Hamonic)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin · NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Hartman, Fiala

  35. P2 17:05Shot by Hanifin, saved by Saros
  36. P2 17:17Shot by Neal, saved by Saros
  37. P2 17:22Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  38. P2 18:28Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros
  39. P2 18:44Shot by Josi, saved by Smith
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:54Goal by Smith (Ekholm, Grimaldi)+28 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Hartman

  43. P3 1:36Shot by Sissons, saved by Smith
  44. P3 1:54Shot by Jankowski, saved by Saros
  45. P3 2:56Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Smith
  46. P3 3:19Shot by Hamonic, saved by Saros
  47. P3 5:40Shot by Weber, saved by Smith
  48. P3 5:49Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Smith
  49. P3 5:52Shot by Josi, saved by Smith
  50. P3 6:03Goal by Hathaway (Tkachuk, Kylington)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Prout, Hathaway, Kylington, Ryan, Tkachuk · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons

  51. P3 6:39Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Smith
  52. P3 7:30Shot by Hartman, saved by Smith
  53. P3 7:42Shot by Lindholm, saved by Saros
  54. P3 8:29Shot by Weber, saved by Smith
  55. P3 9:11Shot by Bitetto, saved by Smith
  56. P3 10:12Shot by Josi, saved by Smith
  57. P3 11:11Shot by Prout, saved by Saros
  58. P3 11:24Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Saros
  59. P3 12:12Goal by Quine (Andersson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Quine, Bennett, Andersson, Czarnik · NSH Weber, Ekholm, Watson, Johansen, Gaudreau

  60. P3 13:49Shot by Monahan, saved by Saros
  61. P3 17:00Goal by Lindholm (Gaudreau, Monahan)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin · NSH Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Sissons, Fiala

  62. P3 17:37Shot by Smith, saved by Smith
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final