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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 17, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

New York Islanders 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 53% of the time.

COL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 1:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 4:07Shot by Hickey, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 5:29Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 5:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 8:30Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 9:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 9:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 10:08Shot by Cizikas, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 11:29Shot by Boychuk, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 11:40Shot by Dries, saved by Greiss
  13. P1 12:29Shot by Pelech, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 13:32Shot by Rantanen, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 14:00Shot by Ho-Sang, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 15:07Shot by Eberle, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 15:21Rantanen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Pelech, Barzal

  18. P1 18:20Goal by Eberle (Nelson, Lee)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NYI Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech

  19. P1 18:52Shot by Compher, saved by Greiss
  20. P1 19:00Shot by Jost, saved by Greiss
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:17Barrie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NYI Hickey, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Pulock

  24. P2 1:40Shot by Pulock, saved by Varlamov4v5
  25. P2 2:07Goal by Boychuk (Pulock, Bailey)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Bourque, Zadorov · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Pulock, Ho-Sang, Beauvillier

  26. P2 5:08Shot by Girard, saved by Greiss
  27. P2 5:33Pulock: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NYI Clutterbuck, Hickey, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock

  28. P2 6:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Greiss5v4
  29. P2 6:45Goal by Landeskog (Barrie, MacKinnon)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pelech

  30. P2 7:09Shot by Boychuk, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 7:22Shot by Boychuk, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 9:15Andrighetto: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Komarov, Leddy, Ho-Sang

  33. P2 11:23Ho-Sang: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Bourque, Andrighetto, Zadorov · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Pulock, Ho-Sang, Beauvillier

  34. P2 11:23Ho-Sang: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Bourque, Andrighetto, Zadorov · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Pulock, Ho-Sang, Beauvillier

  35. P2 13:26Shot by Girard, saved by Greiss5v4
  36. P2 13:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Greiss5v4
  37. P2 14:10Shot by Barrie, saved by Greiss5v4
  38. P2 14:59Shot by Compher, saved by Greiss5v4
  39. P2 15:13Shot by Landeskog, saved by Greiss5v4
  40. P2 15:27Shot by Cizikas, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 15:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
  42. P2 16:08Shot by Pelech, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 16:41Shot by Calvert, saved by Greiss
  44. P2 17:55Cole: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Nelson

  45. P2 18:25Goal by Lee (Leddy, Eberle)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Bourque, Nemeth, Compher · NYI Bailey, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Beauvillier

  46. P2 19:19Shot by Landeskog, saved by Greiss
  47. P2 19:38Shot by Girard, saved by Greiss
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
  51. P3 2:56Shot by Boychuk, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 4:17Shot by Boychuk, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 4:38Shot by Soderberg, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 4:38Shot by Nieto, saved by Greiss
  55. P3 6:08Shot by Filppula, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 6:20Shot by Girard, saved by Greiss6v5
  57. P3 6:24Lee: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Wilson, Andrighetto, Compher, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Girard · NYI Filppula, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Pulock

  58. P3 6:50Shot by Cizikas, saved by Varlamov5v4
  59. P3 8:53Shot by Pulock, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 11:06Shot by Barzal, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 13:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 15:52Shot by Landeskog, saved by Greiss
  63. P3 17:36Goal by Filppula (Pulock)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · NYI Filppula, Komarov, Lee, Mayfield, Pulock

  64. P3 18:06Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wilson, Bourque, Nemeth, Zadorov, Dries · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech

  65. P3 18:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Greiss6v4
  66. P3 19:55Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Greiss6v4
  67. P3 0:00Period end6v4
  68. P3 0:00Final6v4