Sun, Dec 23, 2018·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 111 | 110 | 14 | 01 | 1 | 426 |
| SJS | 110 | 06 | 214 | 08 | 0 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:11SJSTim HeedPPAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Joe Thornton · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 15:31ARIAlex GalchenyukAssists: Clayton Keller · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 12:21ARIAlex GalchenyukPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Slap, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 4:17SJSTomas HertlAssists: Justin Braun, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 6:06ARIConor GarlandAssists: Richard Panik, Jakob Chychrun · Backhand, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 13:53SJSTomas HertlAssists: Evander Kane, Justin Braun · Wrap-around, 0.07 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 2. ARI Alex Galchenyuk scored
- 3. SJS Tomas Hertl stopped
- 4. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 5. SJS Logan Couture stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 0:56SJSBrent Burns: Interference2 min
- P1 13:33ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:47ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:43ARIConor Garland: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:43ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:43SJSBrenden Dillon: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:24SJSKevin Labanc: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:55SJSJoe Pavelski: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:07ARIBrad Richardson: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:04SJSTimo Meier: Cross checking2 min
- OT 1:28ARIConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stepan won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Galchenyuk – Schmaltz – Fischer8:45
xG 0.17–0.20 (47%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Stepan – Panik – Keller8:06
xG 0.06–0.09 (39%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Kempe – Crouse – Garland7:20
xG 0.25–0.59 (30%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Richardson – Archibald – Cousins12:57
xG 0.17–0.70 (20%)attempts 6–22goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson17:20
xG 0.57–0.78 (42%)attempts 12–19goals 1–1
- Oesterle – Lyubushkin10:48
xG 0.14–0.38 (27%)attempts 4–13goals 0–1
- Goligoski – Chychrun15:53
xG 0.31–0.55 (36%)attempts 10–19goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Hertl – Labanc4:38
xG 0.54–0.00 (100%)attempts 15–0goals 2–0
- Couture – Meier – Radil5:12
xG 0.49–0.11 (82%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Couture – Hertl – Meier7:03
xG 0.20–0.06 (77%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Karlsson – Radil5:10
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Heed2:50
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun13:19
xG 0.60–0.47 (57%)attempts 12–9goals 1–2
- Burns – Simek13:52
xG 0.24–0.21 (53%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).