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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 2, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Calgary Flames

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Brodie, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Hronek, saved by Smith
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Neal, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:47Shot by Kronwall, saved by Smith
  6. P1 5:09Shot by Andersson, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:51Shot by Hamonic, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:00Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  9. P1 6:11Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard
  10. P1 7:09Shot by Andersson, saved by Howard
  11. P1 8:19Shot by de la Rose, saved by Smith
  12. P1 9:57Shot by Vanek, saved by Smith
  13. P1 10:26Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard
  14. P1 10:50Shot by Nielsen, saved by Smith
  15. P1 10:54Shot by Witkowski, saved by Smith
  16. P1 11:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  17. P1 12:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Howard
  18. P1 13:14Goal by Helm (Athanasiou)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Witkowski, Glendening, Athanasiou · CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin

  19. P1 13:36Shot by Giordano, saved by Howard
  20. P1 14:19Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Smith
  21. P1 15:29Shot by Hathaway, saved by Howard
  22. P1 16:23Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Howard
  23. P1 17:19Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Smith
  24. P1 17:19Goal by de la Rose (Rasmussen, Jensen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Jensen, de la Rose, Ehn, Rasmussen · CGY Giordano, Neal, Brodie, Jankowski, Bennett

  25. P1 18:05Shot by Monahan, saved by Howard
  26. P1 19:35Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Smith
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 3:24Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard
  30. P2 4:03Shot by Backlund, saved by Howard
  31. P2 5:02Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith
  32. P2 5:27Shot by Giordano, saved by Howard
  33. P2 6:21Shot by Frolik, saved by Howard
  34. P2 6:40Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Howard
  35. P2 6:40Goal by Monahan (Lindholm, Gaudreau)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin, Hronek · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan

  36. P2 7:46Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Smith
  37. P2 10:20Shot by Nyquist, saved by Smith
  38. P2 10:26Shot by Hronek, saved by Smith
  39. P2 10:34Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith
  40. P2 11:17Shot by Andersson, saved by Howard
  41. P2 11:46Gaudreau: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Witkowski, de la Rose, Larkin, Ehn, Rasmussen · CGY Backlund, Hamonic, Lindholm, Monahan, Kylington

  42. P2 13:59Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Howard
  43. P2 14:06Shot by Monahan, saved by Howard
  44. P2 14:58Helm: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm, Jensen, Ehn · CGY Neal, Gaudreau, Monahan, Andersson, Kylington

  45. P2 16:38Shot by Kronwall, saved by Smith4v5
  46. P2 17:22Shot by Helm, saved by Smith
  47. P2 17:59Goal by Brodie (Gaudreau, Lindholm)+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan

  48. P2 18:23Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith
  49. P2 18:23Kylington: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DET Vanek, Jensen, Athanasiou, Ehn, Cholowski · CGY Frolik, Jankowski, Bennett, Andersson, Kylington

  50. P2 18:23Goal by Athanasiou, unassistedother+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Vanek, Jensen, Athanasiou, Ehn, Cholowski · CGY Frolik, Jankowski, Bennett, Andersson, Kylington

  51. P2 18:52Hronek: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm, Glendening, Hronek · CGY Neal, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk

  52. P2 19:01Goal by Lindholm (Giordano, Gaudreau)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Jensen, de la Rose, Larkin · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:06Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek · CGY Neal, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk

  56. P3 1:17Shot by Bennett, saved by Howard4v5
  57. P3 3:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  58. P3 4:28Shot by Brodie, saved by Howard
  59. P3 4:48Shot by Glendening, saved by Smith
  60. P3 5:18Shot by Hanifin, saved by Howard
  61. P3 5:41Shot by Hamonic, saved by Howard
  62. P3 5:45Shot by Andersson, saved by Howard
  63. P3 6:23Shot by Nyquist, saved by Smith
  64. P3 6:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  65. P3 7:17Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Howard
  66. P3 7:25Shot by Helm, saved by Smith
  67. P3 7:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Howard
  68. P3 8:13Shot by Ehn, saved by Smith
  69. P3 8:19Shot by Jensen, saved by Smith
  70. P3 8:42de la Rose: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Witkowski, de la Rose, Ehn · CGY Frolik, Jankowski, Andersson, Kylington, Ryan

  71. P3 8:54Shot by Monahan, saved by Howard4v5
  72. P3 9:37Goal by Gaudreau (Tkachuk, Monahan)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Hronek · CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin, Tkachuk

  73. P3 8:05Shot by de la Rose, saved by Smith
  74. P3 12:03Shot by Nyquist, saved by Smith
  75. P3 12:44Shot by Ryan, saved by Howard
  76. P3 12:48Helm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, Athanasiou, Cholowski · CGY Giordano, Frolik, Brodie, Jankowski, Ryan

  77. P3 12:56Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard4v5
  78. P3 15:35Shot by Ericsson, saved by Smith
  79. P3 19:42Goal by Frolik (Jankowski, Ryan)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Nyquist, Athanasiou, Larkin, Hronek · CGY Frolik, Hamonic, Brodie, Jankowski, Ryan

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final