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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 2, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

San Jose Sharks 5, Colorado Avalanche 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:04Shot by Pavelski, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 1:07Barrie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, Jost · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Sorensen, Ryan

  4. P1 2:15Goal by Pavelski (Couture, Burns)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Karlsson, Hertl

  5. P1 3:25Shot by Calvert, saved by Jones
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones
  7. P1 4:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Jones
  9. P1 6:32Shot by Graves, saved by Jones
  10. P1 7:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Jones
  11. P1 8:20Goal by Calvert (MacKinnon, Nieto)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Calvert, Nieto, Graves, MacKinnon, Girard · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Karlsson, Dillon, Sorensen

  12. P1 8:35Shot by Donskoi, saved by Grubauer
  13. P1 9:48Goodrow: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · SJS Thornton, Burns, Couture, Ryan, Karlsson

  14. P1 10:00Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones5v4
  15. P1 13:15Shot by Cole, saved by Jones
  16. P1 15:10Shot by Nieto, saved by Jones
  17. P1 15:52Nemeth: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Calvert, Nemeth, Nieto, Graves · SJS Burns, Goodrow, Ryan, Karlsson, Labanc

  18. P1 16:32Shot by Hertl, saved by Grubauer4v5
  19. P1 16:33Calvert: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Nieto · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Karlsson, Hertl

  20. P1 16:45Shot by Thornton, saved by Grubauer3v5
  21. P1 17:14Goal by Burns (Karlsson, Pavelski)3v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Bourque · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Karlsson

  22. P1 17:41Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer4v5
  23. P1 18:22Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  27. P2 0:39Shot by Thornton, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 0:48Shot by Thornton, saved by Grubauer
  29. P2 1:01Shot by Thornton, saved by Grubauer
  30. P2 1:37Shot by Girard, saved by Jones
  31. P2 1:46Shot by Donskoi, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 2:17Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 2:35Shot by Nemeth, saved by Jones
  34. P2 3:23Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  35. P2 4:15Goal by Kane (Burns, Pavelski)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun, Kane

  36. P2 6:18Goal by Donskoi (Burns, Vlasic)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Landeskog, Girard, Dries, O'Connor · SJS Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Kane, Donskoi

  37. P2 6:27Shot by Hertl, saved by Francouz
  38. P2 7:54Shot by Meier, saved by Francouz
  39. P2 8:13Shot by Meier, saved by Francouz
  40. P2 9:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Francouz
  41. P2 9:58Shot by Hertl, saved by Francouz
  42. P2 10:37Shot by Girard, saved by Jones
  43. P2 10:43Shot by Compher, saved by Jones
  44. P2 10:44Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jones
  45. P2 10:55Shot by Meier, saved by Francouz
  46. P2 12:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  47. P2 13:50Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jones
  48. P2 16:33Goal by Radil (Pavelski, Couture)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Ryan, Radil

  49. P2 16:46Shot by Compher, saved by Jones
  50. P2 16:49Goal by Jost (Compher, Kerfoot)+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Graves, Compher, Jost · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Karlsson, Sorensen, Ryan

  51. P2 17:12Shot by Compher, saved by Jones
  52. P2 17:14Shot by Jost, saved by Jones
  53. P2 17:14Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Graves, Compher, Jost · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Karlsson, Sorensen, Ryan

  54. P2 18:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones5v4
  55. P2 0:00Goodrow: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Nemeth, Nieto, MacKinnon · SJS Dillon, Goodrow, Ryan, Karlsson, Labanc

  56. P2 0:00Period end6v4
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones5v4
  59. P3 7:22Shot by Meier, saved by Francouz
  60. P3 7:45Shot by Calvert, saved by Jones
  61. P3 8:13Shot by Calvert, saved by Jones
  62. P3 8:24Shot by Goodrow, saved by Francouz
  63. P3 8:38Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  64. P3 12:01Shot by Burns, saved by Francouz
  65. P3 12:12Goal by Barrie, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Sorensen, Ryan

  66. P3 13:20Shot by Donskoi, saved by Francouz
  67. P3 13:56Shot by Meier, saved by Francouz
  68. P3 14:38Dillon: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, Jost · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Dillon, Meier, Radil

  69. P3 15:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones5v4
  70. P3 15:12Shot by Burns, saved by Francouz5v4
  71. P3 16:36Goal by Jost (Girard, Kerfoot)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Kerfoot, Jost, Girard · SJS Burns, Couture, Karlsson, Hertl

  72. P3 18:16Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  73. P3 18:43Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jones6v5
  74. P3 18:44Shot by Compher, saved by Jones6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  76. P3 0:00Final6v5