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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 3, 2019·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 75% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Ferland, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 4:21Shot by Ferland, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 5:08Shot by Couturier, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 5:10Shot by Couturier, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 5:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 5:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 6:00Shot by Weal, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 6:36Shot by Faulk, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 8:24Shot by Faulk, saved by Neuvirth
  11. P1 8:45Shot by Rask, saved by Neuvirth
  12. P1 9:19Shot by Aho, saved by Neuvirth
  13. P1 10:14Shot by Williams, saved by Neuvirth
  14. P1 10:55Shot by Williams, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 13:08Shot by Weise, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 13:24Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 13:48Shot by Hamilton, saved by Neuvirth
  18. P1 14:50Simmonds: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Weal, Hagg, Folin · CAR Williams, de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark

  19. P1 14:52Williams: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gudas, Couturier, Provorov · CAR Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho

  20. P1 15:14Shot by Pesce, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  21. P1 15:56Shot by Slavin, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  22. P1 16:35Shot by Foegele, saved by Neuvirth4v4
  23. P1 18:39Shot by Weal, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 19:33Shot by Gudas, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:15Shot by Laughton, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 1:56Goal by Hamilton (Teravainen, McGinn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Couturier, Sanheim, Lindblom, Provorov · CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  29. P2 2:03Shot by Weal, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 2:09Shot by Simmonds, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 2:10Simmonds: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Weal, Hagg, Folin · CAR Ferland, Rask, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov

  32. P2 3:04Goal by Williams (Aho, Hamilton)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gudas, Couturier, Provorov · CAR Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Hamilton, Aho

  33. P2 3:53Svechnikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Weise, Varone, Gudas, Gostisbehere, Konecny · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Ferland, Rask, Svechnikov

  34. P2 7:12Shot by Gudas, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 7:21Shot by Lindblom, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 9:18Hamilton: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Laughton, Raffl, Folin, Sanheim · CAR Ferland, Rask, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk, Svechnikov

  37. P2 9:26Shot by Couturier, saved by Mrazek5v4
  38. P2 9:35Shot by Simmonds, saved by Mrazek5v4
  39. P2 10:52Shot by Slavin, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  40. P2 13:29Shot by McGinn, saved by Neuvirth
  41. P2 13:46Shot by Weise, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 14:35Shot by Konecny, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 15:26Shot by Sanheim, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 15:32Shot by Sanheim, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 15:35Shot by Couturier, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 15:54Shot by Folin, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 16:16Shot by Ferland, saved by Neuvirth
  48. P2 16:16Hagg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Weal, Hagg, Folin · CAR Ferland, Rask, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov

  49. P2 16:16Hagg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Weal, Hagg, Folin · CAR Ferland, Rask, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov

  50. P2 16:16Svechnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Simmonds, Weal, Hagg, Folin · CAR Ferland, Rask, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov

  51. P2 17:07Shot by Ferland, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  52. P2 17:20Goal by Teravainen (Aho, Ferland)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Weise, Gudas, Laughton, Provorov · CAR Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho

  53. P2 18:10Voracek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gudas, Couturier, Gostisbehere · CAR Rask, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele

  54. P2 18:44Shot by Provorov, saved by Mrazek4v5
  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:59Shot by Martinook, saved by Neuvirth
  58. P3 2:15Shot by Weise, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 2:42Shot by Lindblom, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 2:54Shot by Sanheim, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 3:46Shot by Gudas, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 4:28Shot by Simmonds, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 4:37Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Neuvirth
  64. P3 5:01Goal by Foegele (Faulk, de Haan)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Weise, Varone, Raffl, Sanheim, Provorov · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Maenalanen, Foegele, Wallmark

  65. P3 5:30van Riemsdyk: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gudas, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Lindblom · CAR Rask, Hamilton, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, Foegele

  66. P3 6:17Goal by Simmonds (Voracek, Giroux)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere · CAR Slavin, Pesce, Wallmark, Aho

  67. P3 7:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 7:23Goal by Couturier (Giroux, Konecny)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gudas, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny · CAR Williams, Hamilton, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark

  69. P3 7:45Shot by Couturier, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 8:02Shot by Slavin, saved by Neuvirth
  71. P3 8:55Shot by Faulk, saved by Neuvirth
  72. P3 9:43Hamilton: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Laughton, Hagg, Folin, Lindblom · CAR Hamilton, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, Foegele, Aho

  73. P3 10:50Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Mrazek5v4
  74. P3 10:56Shot by Voracek, saved by Mrazek5v4
  75. P3 10:58Goal by van Riemsdyk (Voracek, Gostisbehere)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Konecny · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Foegele

  76. P3 13:05Shot by Faulk, saved by Neuvirth
  77. P3 13:44Shot by Ferland, saved by Neuvirth
  78. P3 14:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Mrazek
  79. P3 15:13Goal by Teravainen (de Haan)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Gudas, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Lindblom · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, McGinn, Aho

  80. P3 19:06Shot by Couturier, saved by Mrazek6v5
  81. P3 19:07Shot by Simmonds, saved by Mrazek6v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  83. P3 0:00Final6v5