Fri, Jan 4, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
New Jersey Devils 3, Arizona Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 15 | 115 | 011 | 04 | 2 | 335 |
| ARI | 19 | 17 | 09 | 00 | 0 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:05NJDNico HischierAssists: Kyle Palmieri · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 16:44ARIConor GarlandUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 9:05ARIChristian FischerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 16:16NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Travis Zajac, Miles Wood · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ARI Alex Galchenyuk stopped
- 2. NJD Kyle Palmieri scored
- 3. ARI Nick Cousins stopped
- 4. NJD Drew Stafford scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:51NJDBlake Pietila: Slashing2 min
- P1 2:11NJDTravis Zajac: Cross checking2 min
- P1 2:11NJDBlake Coleman: Roughing2 min
- P1 2:11ARIRichard Panik: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:19ARIConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:40ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:35ARIRichard Panik: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:11NJDBrian Boyle: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 14:11NJDSteven Santini: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Wood10:21
xG 0.60–0.12 (84%)attempts 17–5goals 0–1
- Palmieri – Bratt – Hischier11:02
xG 0.24–0.05 (83%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Pietila – Noesen – Zacha8:28
xG 0.28–0.33 (46%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Boyle – Stafford – Seney6:49
xG 0.00–0.24 (1%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson14:14
xG 0.33–0.24 (58%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Santini12:24
xG 0.31–0.31 (50%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
- Vatanen – Severson2:15
xG 0.03–0.04 (39%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKempe – Fischer – Garland4:33
xG 0.29–0.10 (74%)attempts 7–2goals 2–0
- Archibald – Cousins – Crouse10:17
xG 0.27–0.22 (56%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Stepan – Fischer – Keller3:11
xG 0.02–0.10 (13%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Stepan – Galchenyuk – Keller7:05
xG 0.17–0.30 (36%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hjalmarsson – Lyubushkin2:15
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Oesterle – Chychrun2:11
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Chychrun – Lyubushkin12:08
xG 0.41–0.51 (45%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).