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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 6, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Chicago Blackhawks 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.

PIT winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 0:26Shot by Dahlstrom, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Kruger, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 2:43Goal by Hornqvist (Malkin, Simon)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Hornqvist, Pettersson, Simon · CHI Toews, Saad, Murphy, Dahlstrom, Kahun

  6. P1 4:31Shot by Letang, saved by Ward
  7. P1 4:33Goal by Guentzel (Letang, Rust)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · CHI Keith, Anisimov, Kane, Gustafsson, Strome

  8. P1 5:42Shot by Dahlstrom, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 7:42Shot by Letang, saved by Ward
  10. P1 8:17Shot by Maatta, saved by Ward
  11. P1 8:19Shot by Pearson, saved by Ward
  12. P1 9:15Shot by Malkin, saved by Ward
  13. P1 11:47Shot by Perlini, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 13:16Shot by Gustafsson, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 15:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  16. P1 16:02Malkin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Dumoulin, Simon · CHI Kunitz, Kruger, Gustafsson, Dahlstrom, Caggiula

  17. P1 16:23Goal by DeBrincat (Kane, Gustafsson)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Aston-Reese · CHI Toews, Kane, Gustafsson, Strome, DeBrincat

  18. P1 17:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Ward
  19. P1 17:01Shot by Rust, saved by Ward
  20. P1 17:03Murphy: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Maatta, Guentzel, Riikola · CHI Toews, Saad, Murphy, Dahlstrom, Kahun

  21. P1 17:52Keith: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · CHI Keith, Anisimov, Dahlstrom, Kampf

  22. P1 18:48Shot by Malkin, saved by Ward5v3
  23. P1 19:07Shot by Malkin, saved by Ward5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:45Shot by Letang, saved by Ward
  27. P2 1:15Shot by Kane, saved by DeSmith
  28. P2 1:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  29. P2 2:22Shot by Pearson, saved by Ward
  30. P2 2:27Shot by Letang, saved by Ward
  31. P2 3:49Shot by Cullen, saved by Ward
  32. P2 4:05Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  33. P2 5:53Shot by Perlini, saved by DeSmith
  34. P2 6:46Goal by Kunitz (Kruger, Dahlstrom)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Hornqvist, Pettersson, Simon · CHI Kunitz, Kruger, Murphy, Dahlstrom, Caggiula

  35. P2 7:13Shot by Saad, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 7:51Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 9:03Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 9:26Shot by Davidson, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 9:40Shot by Pearson, saved by Ward
  40. P2 9:49Goal by Brassard (Kessel, Pettersson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Brassard, Kessel, Pearson, Pettersson · CHI Seabrook, Davidson, Perlini, DeBrincat, Kampf

  41. P2 10:03Shot by Caggiula, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 10:14Shot by Simon, saved by Ward
  43. P2 11:46Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Ward
  44. P2 12:13Shot by Brassard, saved by Ward
  45. P2 14:20Shot by Crosby, saved by Ward
  46. P2 14:34Shot by DeBrincat, saved by DeSmith
  47. P2 14:46Shot by Pearson, saved by Ward
  48. P2 14:57Pearson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Brassard, Kessel, Pearson, Maatta, Riikola · CHI Murphy, Dahlstrom, Perlini, DeBrincat, Kampf

  49. P2 15:21Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith4v5
  50. P2 15:22Shot by Cullen, saved by Ward4v5
  51. P2 16:59Goal by Keith (Seabrook, Kane)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Pearson, Aston-Reese · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Kane, Saad, Strome

  52. P2 17:27Shot by Caggiula, saved by DeSmith
  53. P2 17:32Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  54. P2 18:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  55. P2 18:40Shot by Rust, saved by Ward
  56. P2 19:41Letang: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Simon · CHI Seabrook, Davidson, DeBrincat, Caggiula, Kampf

  57. P2 19:53Shot by Rust, saved by Ward4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:48Goal by Strome (Kane, Toews)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Letang, Rust, Maatta · CHI Toews, Kane, Gustafsson, Strome, DeBrincat

  61. P3 1:57Shot by Kahun, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 2:19Shot by Dahlstrom, saved by DeSmith
  63. P3 3:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  64. P3 3:55Shot by Pettersson, saved by Ward
  65. P3 5:01Shot by Perlini, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 5:30Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Ward
  67. P3 5:38Shot by Kruger, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 8:02Perlini: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · CHI Murphy, Dahlstrom, Perlini, DeBrincat, Kampf

  69. P3 9:56Shot by Brassard, saved by Ward5v4
  70. P3 12:22Shot by Saad, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 14:18Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Ward
  72. P3 14:59Shot by Riikola, saved by Ward
  73. P3 15:10Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  74. P3 16:49Shot by Kane, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 19:33Goal by Toews, unassisted6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel, Guentzel · CHI Toews, Saad, Murphy, Dahlstrom, Kahun

  76. P3 19:59Shot by Kruger, saved by DeSmith
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final