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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 8, 2019·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum, Uniondale

Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Islanders 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 64% of the time.

NYI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:01Shot by Hamilton, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 2:11Shot by Eberle, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 2:44Shot by Boychuk, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 5:31Shot by Foegele, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 5:43Shot by de Haan, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 7:01Shot by Eberle, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 9:07Shot by Dal Colle, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 13:42Goal by Nelson, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews · CAR de Haan, McKegg, Faulk, Ferland, Martinook

  10. P1 15:10Goal by Maenalanen (Rask, Foegele)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Komarov, Leddy, Dal Colle · CAR Rask, Hamilton, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, Foegele

  11. P1 15:50Shot by Barzal, saved by McElhinney
  12. P1 19:20Shot by Eberle, saved by McElhinney
  13. P1 19:54Goal by McKegg (Ferland, van Riemsdyk)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier · CAR Williams, McKegg, Ferland, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk

  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:25Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Greiss
  17. P2 1:18Shot by Nelson, saved by McElhinney
  18. P2 1:26Shot by Beauvillier, saved by McElhinney
  19. P2 3:18Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  20. P2 3:34Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  21. P2 4:39Shot by Lee, saved by McElhinney6v5
  22. P2 4:58Shot by Lee, saved by McElhinney6v5
  23. P2 5:05Faulk: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  24. P2 6:27Shot by Martinook, saved by Greiss5v4
  25. P2 8:02Shot by Dal Colle, saved by McElhinney
  26. P2 10:18van Riemsdyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Martin, Leddy, Barzal · CAR Williams, Rask, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk, Foegele

  27. P2 10:29Shot by Nelson, saved by McElhinney5v4
  28. P2 11:00Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss5v4
  29. P2 11:18Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss5v4
  30. P2 11:31Shot by Lee, saved by McElhinney5v4
  31. P2 13:34Shot by Mayfield, saved by McElhinney
  32. P2 14:08Shot by de Haan, saved by Greiss
  33. P2 14:19Shot by Faulk, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 14:52Shot by Pulock, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 15:11Shot by Leddy, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 15:16Shot by Pelech, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 17:02Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Greiss
  38. P2 17:45Dal Colle: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Filppula, Komarov, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Toews · CAR Rask, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele

  39. P2 19:44Shot by Slavin, saved by Greiss4v5
  40. P2 19:52Shot by Pulock, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:26Shot by Williams, saved by Greiss
  44. P3 2:03Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney
  45. P3 2:03Shot by Bailey, saved by McElhinney
  46. P3 2:51Shot by Maenalanen, saved by Greiss
  47. P3 4:38Shot by Martin, saved by McElhinney
  48. P3 4:45Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney
  49. P3 4:50Goal by Toews (Lee, Nelson)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews · CAR Hamilton, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  50. P3 7:12Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Greiss
  51. P3 7:39Shot by Maenalanen, saved by Greiss
  52. P3 7:53Shot by Cizikas, saved by McElhinney
  53. P3 11:05Shot by Komarov, saved by McElhinney
  54. P3 11:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Greiss
  55. P3 12:43Shot by Aho, saved by Greiss
  56. P3 13:16Shot by Barzal, saved by McElhinney
  57. P3 15:03Williams: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Filppula, Komarov, Mayfield, Pulock, Dal Colle · CAR Williams, de Haan, McKegg, Faulk, Ferland

  58. P3 16:40Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by McElhinney5v4
  59. P3 17:05Shot by Beauvillier, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 17:09Shot by Pulock, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 17:18Goal by Williams (McKegg)+41 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock, Toews · CAR Williams, McKegg, Ferland, Hamilton, van Riemsdyk

  62. P3 17:55Komarov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  63. P3 18:42Shot by Williams, saved by Greiss4v5
  64. P3 18:53Goal by Slavin (Hamilton, Rask)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Leddy, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal · CAR Rask, Hamilton, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  65. P3 19:01Goal by Nelson, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Toews · CAR Rask, Slavin, Maenalanen, Pesce, Foegele

  66. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  67. P3 0:00Final6v5