Sat, Jan 12, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Boston Bruins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.
63%
22%
TOR winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.05 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:23 | 0.02 | 56.6% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 | 0.12 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:37 | 0.55 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.30 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.19 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:05 | 0.49 | 62.0% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.45 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.16 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.09 | 41.1% | +69.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.09 | 37.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.01 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.06 | 34.8% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.00 | 35.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.21 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:39 | 0.05 | 8.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 4.14 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.07 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.29 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.03 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.03 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.30 | 35.3% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:14 | 0.50 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.04 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.27 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.53 | 72.0% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.30 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.52 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.28 | 59.8% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:42 | 0.75 | 48.2% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.02 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.05 | 81.9% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.00 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.11 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.06 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 57:56 |