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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 12, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Boston Bruins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Brandon CarloD · #25000+1223:050.0551.8%0.0
Zdeno CharaD · #330110222:230.0256.6%+19.7
Torey KrugD · #470000021:250.1240.1%0.0
Brad MarchandLW · #63000−1619:370.5550.9%0.0
Charlie McAvoyD · #730000118:280.3055.0%0.0
Patrice BergeronC · #37000+1118:210.1953.7%0.0
David PastrnakRW · #88101+1518:050.4962.0%+25.2
Danton HeinenLW · #430000216:540.4551.3%0.0
Kevan MillerD · #86000+1116:060.1627.2%0.0
Sean KuralyC · #52123+3215:540.0941.1%+69.5
Chris WagnerRW · #14011+2115:370.0937.9%+24.6
Matt GrzelcykD · #48000+2115:150.0138.8%0.0
David KrejciC · #461010114:590.0634.8%+19.7
Noel AcciariC · #55011+1013:370.0035.9%+24.6
Ryan DonatoC · #170000213:070.2167.8%0.0
Jake DeBruskLW · #740000012:060.0011.9%0.0
Jakob Forsbacka KarlssonC · #230000011:510.0060.0%0.0
David BackesRW · #42000−1210:390.058.7%0.0
Tuukka Rask#40W32302.9384.14+2.160:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51000−2021:460.0738.2%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440000220:580.2937.1%0.0
Travis DermottD · #230000120:530.0371.8%0.0
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000−3120:210.0337.5%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #161010319:410.3035.3%+22.5
John TavaresC · #910000319:140.5030.9%0.0
Ron HainseyD · #20000118:250.0470.2%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110000217:580.2758.6%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43011−2417:510.5372.0%+22.5
William NylanderRW · #29000−2216:520.3074.4%0.0
Patrick MarleauC · #12000−3316:220.5264.4%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340110316:150.2859.8%+21.5
Andreas JohnssonLW · #18101+1415:420.7548.2%+21.5
Igor OzhiganovD · #92000+1115:150.0283.4%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #240220015:030.0581.9%+44.0
Connor BrownRW · #28000009:380.0056.0%0.0
Frederik GauthierC · #33000018:040.1154.2%0.0
Par LindholmC · #26000017:460.0646.9%0.0
Michael Hutchinson#30L29263.8972.83−0.257:56