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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 12, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakWagner–Kuraly–AcciariDonato–Heinen–Forsbacka KarlssonBackes–Krejci–DeBruskKrug–CarloChara–McAvoyMiller–GrzelcykChara–CarloKrug–McAvoyChara–MillerGrzelcyk–Carlo
Marleau–Kadri–Nylander6:290.60–0.192:150.13–0.001:260.05–0.023:000.44–0.031:390.00–0.005:030.34–0.060:420.06–0.000:530.00–0.000:400.04–0.11
Tavares–Hyman–Marner9:300.55–0.551:180.00–0.038:030.50–0.292:060.04–0.211:080.00–0.03
Johnsson–Kapanen–Matthews0:540.12–0.000:590.00–0.000:390.00–0.006:120.26–0.086:230.17–0.060:470.00–0.002:290.53–0.010:340.05–0.00
Brown–Gauthier–Lindholm4:540.02–0.022:430.09–0.000:390.00–0.002:270.00–0.040:510.00–0.00
Tavares–Johnsson–Matthews0:310.00–0.00
Gardiner–Zaitsev1:240.07–0.123:430.00–0.094:460.10–0.393:330.44–0.085:200.09–0.091:400.00–0.005:110.45–0.231:100.07–0.120:460.00–0.001:060.00–0.03
Dermott–Ozhiganov4:350.61–0.193:320.01–0.022:560.14–0.025:450.60–0.062:060.00–0.004:340.66–0.02
Hainsey–Rielly8:390.60–0.270:410.04–0.000:590.00–0.001:370.00–0.057:110.50–0.220:480.00–0.050:520.04–0.001:160.05–0.000:390.04–0.00
Rielly–Dermott0:370.00–0.170:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:420.00–0.170:430.00–0.00
Gardiner–Dermott0:400.00–0.010:470.12–0.01
Gardiner–Ozhiganov0:380.06–0.001:140.06–0.00
Hainsey–Dermott0:480.11–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarleau FNylander FKadri FMarner FTavares FHyman FJohnsson FKapanen FMatthews FGauthier FLindholm FBrown FDermott DOzhiganov DRielly DHainsey DZaitsev DGardiner DHutchinson GWagner FKuraly FAcciari FMarchand FBergeron FPastrnak FKrejci FBackes FDeBrusk FDonato FForsbacka Karlsson FHeinen FGrzelcyk DMiller DChara DMcAvoy DCarlo DKrug DRask G
TORBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon CarloBOS2523:050:551:5913
Zdeno CharaBOS2622:230:521:3552
Jake GardinerTOR2621:460:501:4531
Torey KrugBOS2321:250:561:4832
Morgan RiellyTOR2720:580:471:2532
Travis DermottTOR2620:530:481:2112
Nikita ZaitsevTOR2620:210:471:5124
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:410:471:4933
Brad MarchandBOS2519:370:471:4253
John TavaresTOR2419:140:481:4033
Charlie McAvoyBOS2418:280:461:3952
Ron HainseyTOR2518:250:441:5123
Patrice BergeronBOS2418:210:461:3343
David PastrnakBOS2318:050:471:3361
Zach HymanTOR2517:580:431:2424
Nazem KadriTOR2317:510:471:1931
Danton HeinenBOS1916:540:531:3332
William NylanderTOR2316:520:441:1051
Patrick MarleauTOR2216:220:451:0451
Auston MatthewsTOR2416:150:411:0652
Kevan MillerBOS2216:060:441:2713
Sean KuralyBOS2315:540:411:1707
Andreas JohnssonTOR2215:420:431:2431
Chris WagnerBOS1915:370:491:4403
Igor OzhiganovTOR2215:150:421:1111
Matt GrzelcykBOS2415:150:381:1212
Kasperi KapanenTOR2515:030:360:5134
David KrejciBOS2014:590:451:1712
Noel AcciariBOS2013:370:411:2415
Ryan DonatoBOS1713:070:461:0620
Jake DeBruskBOS1612:060:451:2331
Jakob Forsbacka KarlssonBOS1411:510:511:2221
David BackesBOS1510:390:431:1721
Connor BrownTOR159:380:391:0212
Frederik GauthierTOR138:040:371:0902
Par LindholmTOR137:460:361:0213