Wed, Jan 16, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
San Jose Sharks 3, Arizona Coyotes 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 113 | 18 | 18 | 329 |
| ARI | 217 | 212 | 212 | 641 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:31ARILawson CrouseAssists: Mario Kempe · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 4:39ARIRichard PanikSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–2
- P1 6:53SJSKevin LabancAssists: Brenden Dillon, Justin Braun · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 5:05ARIChristian FischerAssists: Ilya Lyubushkin, Jordan Weal · Wrap-around, 0.08 xG1–3
- P2 7:50ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonGWGAssists: Clayton Keller, Christian Fischer · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–4
- P2 10:15SJSEvander KaneAssists: Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 15:08SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Erik Karlsson, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–4
- P3 18:02ARIAlex GalchenyukENUnassisted · Slap, 0.70 xG3–5
- P3 19:11ARIJosh ArchibaldENAssists: Lawson Crouse · Wrist, 0.76 xG3–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:00ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:26SJSJoonas Donskoi: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:50SJSKevin Labanc: Delaying game bench2 min
- P3 4:54SJSBarclay Goodrow: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:02ARIChristian Fischer: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:48ARIRichard Panik: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:47SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stepan won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Sorensen10:27
xG 0.93–0.21 (82%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Karlsson – Labanc3:07
xG 0.22–0.02 (92%)attempts 9–3goals 1–1
- Couture – Meier – Radil3:24
xG 0.10–0.07 (58%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Karlsson – Radil4:43
xG 0.02–0.05 (25%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Dillon2:54
xG 0.38–0.01 (97%)attempts 9–1goals 2–0
- Braun – Heed7:07
xG 0.29–0.11 (73%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon2:04
xG 0.06–0.03 (63%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Panik – Hinostroza12:21
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Garland7:56
xG 0.45–0.35 (56%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Weal – Fischer – Keller8:53
xG 0.26–0.32 (44%)attempts 8–8goals 2–1
- Kempe – Archibald – Crouse10:03
xG 0.24–0.36 (40%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson16:57
xG 0.46–0.12 (80%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Chychrun – Lyubushkin12:57
xG 0.61–0.70 (47%)attempts 18–11goals 1–1
- Goligoski – Oesterle15:44
xG 0.19–1.08 (15%)attempts 9–22goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).