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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 21, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:43Blackwell: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Barberio, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Andrighetto · NSH Hamhuis, Smith, Irwin, Blackwell, Fiala

  4. P1 3:27Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne5v4
  5. P1 4:52Shot by Cole, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 4:58Gaudreau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, Dries · NSH Subban, Irwin, Grimaldi, Hartman, Gaudreau

  7. P1 5:06Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov5v4
  8. P1 5:48Shot by Compher, saved by Rinne5v4
  9. P1 7:54Shot by Nieto, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:35Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 10:54Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 11:51Zadorov: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Bonino, Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, Watson

  13. P1 11:51Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Bonino, Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, Watson

  14. P1 11:57Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 12:10Shot by Blackwell, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 13:01Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 15:12Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 16:00Shot by Barberio, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 16:10Shot by Barberio, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 16:18Shot by Cole, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 16:23Shot by Barberio, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 16:45Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 17:14Shot by Girard, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 17:14Ekholm: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, Girard, Dries · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Grimaldi, Hartman, Gaudreau

  25. P1 17:14Nieto: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, Girard, Dries · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Grimaldi, Hartman, Gaudreau

  26. P1 17:48Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne4v4
  27. P1 19:05Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov4v4
  28. P1 19:20Barrie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Calvert, Barrie, Landeskog, Zadorov · NSH Subban, Josi, Ekholm, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:51Zadorov: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  32. P2 2:34Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov4v5
  33. P2 3:30Bonino: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Barberio, Nieto · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons

  34. P2 3:30Shot by Nieto, saved by Rinneother
  35. P2 4:07Shot by Dries, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 5:01Goal by Bonino (Jarnkrok)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Calvert, Barrie, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Sissons

  37. P2 5:20Shot by Hartman, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 5:44Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 6:23Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 6:35Goal by Arvidsson (Forsberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Subban, Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, Arvidsson

  41. P2 7:44Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 8:10Shot by Calvert, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 8:12Jarnkrok: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Barberio, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Andrighetto · NSH Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Sissons

  44. P2 9:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  45. P2 10:13Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 10:41Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 12:07Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 15:21Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 15:11Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 16:43Goal by Kerfoot (Girard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Girard · NSH Hamhuis, Smith, Irwin, Blackwell, Fiala

  51. P2 17:14Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 17:13Shot by Bonino, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 17:58Goal by Josi (Watson, Bonino)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wilson, Barberio, Compher, Zadorov · NSH Bonino, Subban, Josi, Jarnkrok, Watson

  54. P2 18:29Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 18:31Compher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Wilson, Compher, Girard · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg, Gaudreau, Arvidsson

  56. P2 18:39Shot by Barberio, saved by Rinne4v5
  57. P2 19:39Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:45Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 3:53Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 4:47Shot by Blackwell, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 6:53Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 7:25Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 7:35Watson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wilson, Barberio, Nemeth, Compher · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson

  66. P3 8:41Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne5v4
  67. P3 9:05Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne5v4
  68. P3 9:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  69. P3 9:30Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne5v4
  70. P3 9:51Shot by Girard, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 12:34Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 13:00Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 15:27Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  74. P3 16:16Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 16:23Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 17:07Goal by Ellis (Jarnkrok, Ekholm)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson

  77. P3 18:07Shot by Cole, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 18:07Calvert: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson

  79. P3 18:07Irwin: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson

  80. P3 18:11Shot by Zadorov, saved by Rinne
  81. P3 18:48Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  82. P3 19:01Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final