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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 23, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Washington Capitals

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:53Shot by Lindholm, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 3:49Shot by Niskanen, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 4:19Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 6:45Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 7:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 8:26Shot by Marincin, saved by Holtby
  8. P1 10:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  9. P1 10:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 10:32Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:40Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 12:30Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 14:34Shot by Eller, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 14:36Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 15:42Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 16:15Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 16:49Marleau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · WSH Carlson, Orlov, Boyd, Stephenson, Burakovsky

  18. P1 18:15Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen4v5
  19. P1 18:47Goal by Backstrom (Kuznetsov, Carlson)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Kapanen, Zaitsev · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov

  20. P1 19:34Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Rielly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Dermott · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Smith-Pelly, Connolly, Kempny

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:15Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen
  24. P2 1:34Shot by Marleau, saved by Holtby
  25. P2 2:04Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 2:37Shot by Marincin, saved by Holtby
  27. P2 2:49Shot by Eller, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 3:37Shot by Orlov, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 3:51Goal by Ovechkin (Oshie, Kempny)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Kapanen · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Kempny

  30. P2 4:56Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 6:05Shot by Kapanen, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 6:40Shot by Bowey, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 7:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  34. P2 7:55Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 8:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 9:07Shot by Moore, saved by Holtby
  37. P2 9:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  38. P2 9:48Shot by Kapanen, saved by Holtby
  39. P2 9:53Shot by Hyman, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 10:21Shot by Kempny, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 11:00Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 11:37Shot by Marner, saved by Holtby
  43. P2 11:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 12:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Holtby
  45. P2 13:11Goal by Zaitsev (Nylander, Kadri)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kadri, Brown, Nylander, Dermott, Zaitsev · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Kempny

  46. P2 14:22Shot by Eller, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 14:31Shot by Connolly, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 14:36Shot by Eller, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 14:46Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 14:47Shot by Eller, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 15:03Shot by Niskanen, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 15:18Shot by Hainsey, saved by Holtby
  53. P2 15:35Ovechkin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Kapanen · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov

  54. P2 16:19Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Tavares)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · WSH Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Siegenthaler

  55. P2 16:38Shot by Boyd, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 17:03Shot by Kempny, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 17:31Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Andersen
  58. P2 18:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  59. P2 19:19Shot by Marner, saved by Holtby
  60. P2 0:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P2 16:07Shot by Kadri, saved by Holtby5v4
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 1:47Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  65. P3 2:10Goal by Kadri (Brown, Marincin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Nylander, Ozhiganov · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Smith-Pelly, Connolly, Kempny

  66. P3 3:49Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 3:59Shot by Marleau, saved by Holtby
  68. P3 4:29Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 4:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  70. P3 4:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 6:21Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 6:32Shot by Kempny, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 6:44Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 10:15Goal by Kadri (Brown, Nylander)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kadri, Brown, Nylander, Dermott, Zaitsev · WSH Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Connolly, Burakovsky

  75. P3 10:32Shot by Moore, saved by Holtby
  76. P3 12:13Shot by Orlov, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 12:20Shot by Orlov, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 12:24Shot by Oshie, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 12:30Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 12:53Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 13:34Shot by Bowey, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 15:41Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  83. P3 15:47Shot by Hainsey, saved by Holtby
  84. P3 15:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  85. P3 17:08Shot by Oshie, saved by Andersen
  86. P3 17:14Goal by Niskanen (Oshie, Backstrom)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Kapanen · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Kempny

  87. P3 17:56Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen5v6
  88. P3 19:27Goal by Marner, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Marner · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Boyd, Vrana

  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final