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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 23, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:09Shot by Pateryn, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 3:22Shot by Seeler, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 4:06Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 5:42Goal by Soderberg (Wilson, Calvert)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wilson, Calvert, Barrie, Zadorov · MIN Parise, Rask, Brodin, Hunt, Aberg

  6. P1 6:50Goal by Staal (Coyle)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Wilson, Compher, Girard · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Greenway

  7. P1 7:16Shot by Granlund, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 8:32Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer
  9. P1 8:55Shot by Greenway, saved by Grubauer
  10. P1 10:00Shot by Zucker, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 10:14Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 10:43Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 11:34Pateryn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Pateryn, Foligno, Hunt, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  14. P1 12:40Goal by Barrie (MacKinnon, Rantanen)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · MIN Parise, Seeler, Brodin, Eriksson Ek

  15. P1 13:40Shot by Dries, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 13:43Shot by Nemeth, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 13:47Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 13:56Shot by Girard, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 15:21Shot by Kunin, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 15:30Shot by Staal, saved by Grubauer
  21. P1 16:04Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 16:27Goal by Spurgeon (Suter, Zucker)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Coyle

  23. P1 16:47Shot by Cole, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P1 17:35Shot by Pateryn, saved by Grubauer
  25. P1 17:37Shot by Granlund, saved by Grubauer
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:14Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 1:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 3:08Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P2 5:52Kerfoot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Graves · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Greenway

  32. P2 6:51Cole: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Nemeth, Nieto · MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Rask, Aberg

  33. P2 7:24Goal by Staal (Granlund, Aberg)3v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Calvert, Nemeth, Compher · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Aberg

  34. P2 8:01Shot by Koivu, saved by Grubauer4v5
  35. P2 8:53Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 9:03Suter: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Bourque, Graves, Zadorov, Dries · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Hunt

  37. P2 12:22Shot by Staal, saved by Grubauer
  38. P2 12:23Barrie: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle, Greenway

  39. P2 13:27Shot by Bourque, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  40. P2 13:45Shot by Rask, saved by Grubauer4v5
  41. P2 17:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 18:01Shot by Graves, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 19:06Shot by Rask, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 19:09Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 19:37Goal by Coyle (Parise, Staal)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wilson, Nemeth, Andrighetto, Graves · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Pateryn, Coyle

  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:40Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P3 1:18Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P3 3:59Shot by Koivu, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 4:32Shot by Girard, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P3 5:56Shot by Aberg, saved by Grubauer
  53. P3 6:25Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P3 6:31Andrighetto: Delaying game bench face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  55. P3 7:16Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer4v5
  56. P3 7:50Nemeth: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Nemeth, Compher · MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Rask, Brodin

  57. P3 8:13Goal by Suter (Granlund, Aberg)3v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Nieto · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Aberg

  58. P3 8:20Shot by Graves, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  59. P3 9:03Shot by Granlund, saved by Grubauer4v5
  60. P3 9:54Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 13:14Shot by Zucker, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 17:59Shot by Coyle, saved by Grubauer
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final