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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 1, 2019·Capital One Arena, Washington

Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 4

Away

Calgary Flames

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 71% of the time.

WSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:00Goal by Dowd (Carlson, Kempny)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Smith-Pelly, Burakovsky, Kempny · CGY Hamonic, Hathaway, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Ryan

  3. P1 3:39Shot by Oshie, saved by Smith
  4. P1 4:15Shot by Kylington, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 6:43Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  6. P1 7:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 8:01Shot by Frolik, saved by Holtby
  8. P1 8:56Shot by Neal, saved by Holtby
  9. P1 9:43Shot by Giordano, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 10:27Shot by Orlov, saved by Smith
  11. P1 11:18Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Smith
  12. P1 12:04Shot by Eller, saved by Smith
  13. P1 13:16Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Smith
  14. P1 13:24Shot by Niskanen, saved by Smith
  15. P1 15:25Shot by Eller, saved by Smith
  16. P1 16:20Shot by Giordano, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 16:21Shot by Monahan, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 16:34Shot by Giordano, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 17:37Goal by Backlund, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Stephenson, Siegenthaler · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk

  20. P1 18:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Holtby
  21. P1 18:32Shot by Hanifin, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 19:23Shot by Eller, saved by Smith
  23. P1 19:22Shot by Eller, saved by Smith
  24. P1 19:24Goal by Jaskin (Eller, Orpik)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Jaskin, Siegenthaler · CGY Neal, Jankowski, Bennett, Andersson, Kylington

  25. P1 19:41Shot by Giordano, saved by Holtby
  26. P1 19:49Shot by Brodie, saved by Holtby
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P1 18:44Shot by Orlov, saved by Smith
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:28Shot by Kempny, saved by Smith
  31. P2 0:54Goal by Wilson (Vrana, Kuznetsov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk

  32. P2 2:17Goal by Hathaway (Ryan, Brodie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Orlov, Dowd, Smith-Pelly, Burakovsky · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Hathaway, Mangiapane, Ryan

  33. P2 4:12Shot by Jaskin, saved by Smith
  34. P2 6:51Shot by Lindholm, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 7:52Shot by Jaskin, saved by Smith
  36. P2 7:56Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Smith
  37. P2 8:04Shot by Connolly, saved by Smith
  38. P2 8:12Shot by Carlson, saved by Smith
  39. P2 8:28Shot by Kempny, saved by Smith
  40. P2 8:29Giordano: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Stephenson, Kempny · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan

  41. P2 8:58Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith5v4
  42. P2 9:48Shot by Backlund, saved by Holtby5v4
  43. P2 10:46Shot by Monahan, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 11:23Shot by Jaskin, saved by Smith
  45. P2 12:11Shot by Backstrom, saved by Smith
  46. P2 13:33Hathaway: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Smith-Pelly, Vrana · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Hathaway, Mangiapane, Ryan

  47. P2 14:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Smith5v4
  48. P2 15:26Shot by Carlson, saved by Smith5v4
  49. P2 15:27Shot by Backstrom, saved by Smith5v4
  50. P2 15:41Shot by Brodie, saved by Holtby
  51. P2 15:53Shot by Oshie, saved by Smith
  52. P2 15:55Giordano: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Stephenson · CGY Giordano, Neal, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan

  53. P2 15:59Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith5v4
  54. P2 18:11Shot by Jankowski, saved by Holtby
  55. P2 19:56Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Holtby
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:45Kempny: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Stephenson, Kempny · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan

  59. P3 1:23Shot by Ryan, saved by Holtby4v5
  60. P3 2:23Shot by Lindholm, saved by Holtby4v5
  61. P3 2:37Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Holtby4v5
  62. P3 2:57Shot by Oshie, saved by Smith
  63. P3 4:05Shot by Neal, saved by Holtby
  64. P3 6:45Shot by Connolly, saved by Smith
  65. P3 8:16Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  66. P3 8:29Orlov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana · CGY Giordano, Neal, Brodie, Jankowski, Bennett

  67. P3 9:27Shot by Giordano, saved by Holtby4v5
  68. P3 10:24Shot by Neal, saved by Holtby4v5
  69. P3 11:20Shot by Backstrom, saved by Smith
  70. P3 12:01Goal by Lindholm (Gaudreau, Brodie)+37 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Stephenson, Kempny · CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan

  71. P3 12:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Holtby
  72. P3 12:25Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  73. P3 13:07Shot by Vrana, saved by Smith
  74. P3 15:29Shot by Frolik, saved by Holtby
  75. P3 18:02Backlund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Wilson, Vrana · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk

  76. P3 18:14Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Smith5v4
  77. P3 18:15Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Smith5v4
  78. P3 18:27Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Smith5v4
  79. P3 18:40Shot by Carlson, saved by Smith5v4
  80. P3 19:03Goal by Kuznetsov (Oshie, Backstrom)5v4+43 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Connolly · CGY Hathaway, Hanifin, Andersson, Ryan

  81. P3 0:00Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk

  82. P3 0:00Orpik: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk

  83. P3 0:00Backstrom: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk

  84. P3 19:58Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Holtby5v6
  85. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  86. P3 0:00Final5v6