Sat, Feb 2, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
55%
9%
28%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 25:43 | 0.14 | 48.2% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.09 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.28 | 37.4% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.23 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.20 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.04 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.25 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.08 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.02 | 51.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.01 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.05 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:40 | 0.46 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.43 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.07 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.18 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:08 | 0.07 | 27.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.00 | 26.1% | +14.6 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.72 | −0.3 | 58:32 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:58 | 0.12 | 66.5% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:09 | 0.51 | 67.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:47 | 0.04 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:52 | 0.50 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.13 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.83 | 62.2% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.28 | 65.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.03 | 54.2% | +36.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.11 | 63.8% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0.42 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:51 | 0.11 | 67.7% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.23 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.02 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:46 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:46 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.59 | +0.6 | 59:56 |