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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 2, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:37Shot by Gourde, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 3:44Shot by Fast, saved by Domingue
  4. P1 4:05Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  5. P1 4:16Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Domingue
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Domingue
  7. P1 6:51Goal by Gourde (McDonagh, Joseph)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McLeod, Shattenkirk, Skjei, Vesey, Nieves · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Cernak, Joseph

  8. P1 6:49Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 9:54McQuaid: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McQuaid, Hayes, Fast, Skjei, Buchnevich · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Cernak

  10. P1 9:59Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  11. P1 11:32Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Domingue4v5
  12. P1 15:00Shot by Callahan, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 16:55Shot by Palat, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 18:05Shot by Strome, saved by Domingue
  15. P1 18:06Shot by Strome, saved by Domingue
  16. P1 18:31Girardi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Strome, Namestnikov, Chytil · TBL Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, Joseph

  17. P1 18:38Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Domingue5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:17Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  21. P2 2:27Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P2 3:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 3:36Shot by Stralman, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 4:41Goal by Cernak (Callahan, Paquette)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McLeod, McQuaid, Skjei, Vesey, Nieves · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Paquette, Erne, Cernak

  25. P2 5:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 6:33Shot by Strome, saved by Domingue
  27. P2 8:15Shot by McQuaid, saved by Domingue
  28. P2 8:20Shot by Staal, saved by Domingue
  29. P2 8:33Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Strome, Namestnikov, Chytil, Pionk · TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli

  30. P2 10:28Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 11:08Miller: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Hayes, Vesey, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  32. P2 11:02Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 11:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue5v4
  34. P2 11:30Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  35. P2 13:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 15:17Shot by Joseph, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 15:18Shot by Joseph, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 16:17Goal by Zuccarello (Zibanejad, Kreider)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McQuaid, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Paquette, Erne

  39. P2 17:47Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  40. P2 17:52Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue
  41. P2 18:24Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue
  42. P2 19:14Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Domingue
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:21Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 2:32Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue
  47. P3 4:23Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  48. P3 5:11Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Domingue
  49. P3 5:38Coburn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad · TBL Coburn, Stralman, Killorn, Miller, Cirelli

  50. P3 6:49Goal by Hayes (Zibanejad, Lundqvist)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Hayes, Zibanejad · TBL Girardi, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette

  51. P3 8:12Shot by Hayes, saved by Domingue
  52. P3 8:36Shot by Vesey, saved by Domingue
  53. P3 10:18Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Domingue
  54. P3 10:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 11:19Shot by Erne, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 11:42Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  57. P3 11:52Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  58. P3 12:15Shot by Hayes, saved by Domingue
  59. P3 12:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Domingue
  60. P3 13:05Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Domingue
  61. P3 13:55Shot by Callahan, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 14:09McDonagh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McQuaid, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Cernak

  63. P3 16:26Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  64. P3 18:37Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue6v5
  65. P3 18:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue6v5
  66. P3 19:58Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Domingue6v5
  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final6v5