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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 7, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:02Shot by Glendening, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 4:49Shot by Kronwall, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 5:10Shot by Ericsson, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 7:26Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 9:48Shot by Kronwall, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 10:16Shot by Stastny, saved by Howard
  8. P1 10:20Shot by Miller, saved by Howard
  9. P1 10:42Shot by Miller, saved by Howard
  10. P1 11:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 11:16Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 11:19Goal by Nyquist (Abdelkader, Larkin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Larkin · VGK Engelland, Reaves, Miller, Bellemare, Nosek

  13. P1 12:14Shot by Nielsen, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 15:17Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 15:47Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, de la Rose, Ehn, Cholowski, Rasmussen · VGK Engelland, Smith, Eakin, Lindberg, Theodore

  16. P1 16:09Shot by Mantha, saved by Fleury5v4
  17. P1 16:41Shot by Cholowski, saved by Fleury5v4
  18. P1 17:14Shot by Mantha, saved by Fleury5v4
  19. P1 18:59Shot by Miller, saved by Howard
  20. P1 19:38Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P1 10:21Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Howard
  23. P1 10:31Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Howard
  24. P1 13:30Shot by Stastny, saved by Howard
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:13Shot by Tuch, saved by Howard
  27. P2 0:14Larkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Larkin · VGK Stastny, Pacioretty, McNabb, Schmidt, Tuch

  28. P2 2:01Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard4v5
  29. P2 2:04Goal by Marchessault (Karlsson, Miller)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, Zykov

  30. P2 3:30Shot by Marchessault, saved by Howard
  31. P2 4:22Shot by Green, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 5:00Stastny: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Jensen, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · VGK Engelland, Stastny, Pacioretty, Theodore, Tuch

  33. P2 5:09Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Fleury5v4
  34. P2 7:08Goal by Karlsson (Stastny, Schmidt)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Nyquist, Cholowski, Rasmussen · VGK Engelland, Stastny, Smith, Karlsson, Theodore

  35. P2 8:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 10:10Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 10:20Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  38. P2 10:22Goal by Marchessault (Smith, Engelland)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Larkin · VGK Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore

  39. P2 11:26Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 12:25Shot by Engelland, saved by Howard
  41. P2 13:02Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard
  42. P2 14:07Schmidt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Larkin · VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt

  43. P2 15:35Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Fleury5v4
  44. P2 16:13Shot by Green, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 17:02Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 17:07Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 17:14Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 17:21Shot by Jensen, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 18:07Shot by Schmidt, saved by Howard
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:26Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Howard
  53. P3 0:33Shot by Marchessault, saved by Howard
  54. P3 0:31Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  55. P3 1:44Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard
  56. P3 2:15Shot by de la Rose, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 2:43Shot by Nyquist, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 2:45Pacioretty: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Larkin · VGK Engelland, Stastny, Pacioretty, Theodore, Tuch

  59. P3 4:05Shot by Nyquist, saved by Fleury5v4
  60. P3 4:41Goal by Rasmussen (Nielsen, Green)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Cholowski, Rasmussen · VGK Stastny, Eakin, Merrill, Schmidt

  61. P3 5:55Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  62. P3 6:50Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 7:25Shot by Nielsen, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 8:08Nielsen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser · VGK Stastny, Pacioretty, McNabb, Schmidt, Tuch

  65. P3 8:06Shot by Schmidt, saved by Howard
  66. P3 8:23Shot by Miller, saved by Howard4v5
  67. P3 8:36Shot by Zykov, saved by Howard4v5
  68. P3 9:05Shot by Helm, saved by Fleury4v5
  69. P3 9:47Shot by Theodore, saved by Howard4v5
  70. P3 11:07Goal by McNabb, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Nyquist, Athanasiou, Larkin, Cholowski · VGK McNabb, Eakin, Lindberg, Schmidt, Zykov

  71. P3 11:31Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard
  72. P3 11:55Shot by Engelland, saved by Howard
  73. P3 12:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  74. P3 14:09Shot by Miller, saved by Howard
  75. P3 14:29Shot by Zykov, saved by Howard
  76. P3 14:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 15:11Shot by Nielsen, saved by Fleury
  78. P3 17:57Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury6v5
  79. P3 18:47Shot by Vanek, saved by Fleury6v5
  80. P3 18:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Fleury6v5
  81. P3 18:16Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Fleury6v5
  82. P3 19:57Goal by Vanek (Rasmussen, Larkin)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, Larkin, Rasmussen · VGK Engelland, Stastny, Pacioretty, Theodore, Bellemare

  83. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  84. P3 0:00Final6v5