Thu, Feb 7, 2019·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 014 | 214 | 113 | 02 | 343 |
| CHI | 213 | 19 | 010 | 13 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:59CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Dylan Strome, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 18:58CHIBrandon SaadPPAssists: Artem Anisimov, Brent Seabrook · Snap, 0.42 xG0–2
- P2 2:20VANAlex BiegaAssists: Brock Boeser, Josh Leivo · Slap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 4:41VANJosh LeivoAssists: Jake Virtanen, Chris Tanev · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 14:01CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Dylan Strome, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 18:08VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Troy Stecher, Josh Leivo · Slap, 0.03 xG3–3
- OT 3:21CHIJonathan ToewsGWGAssists: Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 11:44CHIGustav Forsling: Holding2 min
- P1 12:34CHIDrake Caggiula: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:03VANJay Beagle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 17:26VANBrandon Sutter: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:53CHISlater Koekkoek: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:08VANBen Hutton: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:38VANDerrick Pouliot: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:09CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:27VANLoui Eriksson: Interference2 min
- P3 16:24CHIBrendan Perlini: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Sutter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeivo – Boeser – Pettersson4:48
xG 0.45–0.02 (96%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Roussel – Horvat – Virtanen3:59
xG 0.27–0.10 (73%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Leivo – Granlund – Horvat2:53
xG 0.14–0.02 (88%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Goldobin – Boeser – Pettersson2:12
xG 0.09–0.01 (88%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBiega – Pouliot11:37
xG 0.91–0.18 (84%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Tanev – Gudbranson11:37
xG 1.10–0.85 (57%)attempts 16–12goals 1–1
- Hutton – Stecher17:31
xG 0.80–0.65 (55%)attempts 23–19goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKunitz – Anisimov – Hayden2:20
xG 0.12–0.01 (90%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Kruger – Saad – Perlini2:08
xG 0.02–0.08 (16%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Kunitz – Kruger – Hayden2:38
xG 0.02–0.17 (11%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Toews – Kane – Caggiula11:55
xG 0.49–0.73 (40%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gustafsson – Forsling11:14
xG 0.32–0.60 (35%)attempts 7–13goals 0–2
- Keith – Seabrook15:55
xG 0.85–1.25 (40%)attempts 18–28goals 0–0
- Murphy – Koekkoek14:23
xG 0.67–1.10 (38%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).