Thu, Feb 7, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 217 | 110 | 16 | 433 |
| ARI | 09 | 212 | 010 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:02CBJLukas SedlakAssists: Riley Nash · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 17:13CBJDavid SavardAssists: Josh Anderson, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P2 4:20ARIJordan OesterleAssists: Nick Cousins, Christian Fischer · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 6:03ARIConor GarlandAssists: Jordan Oesterle · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 10:24CBJJosh AndersonPPGWGAssists: Seth Jones, Alexander Wennberg · Slap, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 13:52CBJBoone JennerUnassisted · Snap, 0.06 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:32ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:44ARIChristian Fischer: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:26CBJAnthony Duclair: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:27CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:20CBJRiley Nash: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Kempe
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNash – Sedlak – Hannikainen7:52
xG 0.56–0.40 (59%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Bjorkstrand – Panarin – Dubois2:30
xG 0.13–0.07 (65%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Foligno – Jenner – Anderson12:53
xG 0.50–0.45 (53%)attempts 10–18goals 2–0
- Duclair – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg8:59
xG 0.48–0.43 (53%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Jones17:41
xG 1.49–0.56 (73%)attempts 24–22goals 2–0
- Savard – Werenski16:59
xG 0.45–0.79 (36%)attempts 13–18goals 1–1
- Harrington – Nutivaara11:01
xG 0.10–0.62 (14%)attempts 5–17goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCousins – Fischer – Keller11:12
xG 0.65–0.39 (62%)attempts 15–4goals 1–0
- Weal – Galchenyuk – Garland7:39
xG 0.33–0.16 (68%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Kempe – Archibald – Crouse8:12
xG 0.37–0.40 (48%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Stepan – Panik – Hinostroza10:30
xG 0.40–0.79 (34%)attempts 16–13goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Oesterle2:01
xG 0.35–0.09 (79%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson13:23
xG 0.50–0.38 (57%)attempts 16–13goals 1–1
- Goligoski – Oesterle2:36
xG 0.13–0.06 (68%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).