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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 9, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 1, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  5. P1 2:55Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 3:03Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 3:56Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 4:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  9. P1 4:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 4:58Shot by Kronwall, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 8:58Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 9:17Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 11:19Reinhart: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Sheary, Reinhart, Mittelstadt, Pilut · DET Ericsson, de la Rose, Ehn, Cholowski, Rasmussen

  14. P1 13:41Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 14:24Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 15:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  17. P1 16:28Shot by Cholowski, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 18:14Shot by Bogosian, saved by Howard
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:15Goal by Sheary, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Mittelstadt · DET Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin

  22. P2 1:29Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 2:23Kronwall: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Dahlin · DET Kronwall, Green, de la Rose, Ehn, Rasmussen

  24. P2 4:14Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard5v4
  25. P2 4:20Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard5v4
  26. P2 4:43Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 6:08Shot by McCabe, saved by Howard
  28. P2 6:55Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard
  29. P2 7:53Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  30. P2 8:44Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Howard
  31. P2 9:15Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 9:41Abdelkader: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Pilut · DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Larkin, Cholowski

  33. P2 10:05Goal by Mittelstadt (Eichel, Dahlin)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · DET Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser

  34. P2 13:06Shot by Dahlin, saved by Howard
  35. P2 14:44Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  36. P2 14:48Shot by Scandella, saved by Howard
  37. P2 16:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 16:46Skinner: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Skinner, McCabe, Eichel, Pilut · DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Athanasiou, Larkin

  39. P2 17:14Goal by Larkin (Vanek, Athanasiou)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons · DET Vanek, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski

  40. P2 19:08Rasmussen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Bogosian, Skinner, Eichel, Dahlin · DET Ericsson, Green, Larkin, Ehn, Rasmussen

  41. P2 19:29Goal by Okposo (Ristolainen, Rodrigues)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues · DET Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 4:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Howard
  45. P3 4:53Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  46. P3 4:59Shot by Pilut, saved by Howard
  47. P3 5:08Shot by Pilut, saved by Howard
  48. P3 5:49Shot by de la Rose, saved by Ullmark
  49. P3 7:11Shot by Jensen, saved by Ullmark
  50. P3 8:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 8:47Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  52. P3 9:56Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 10:05Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 11:26Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 11:57Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 12:20Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, McCabe, Rodrigues, Thompson, Pilut · DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, de la Rose, Cholowski, Rasmussen

  57. P3 15:08Shot by Jensen, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 16:23Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 16:28Scandella: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Mittelstadt · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Athanasiou, Mantha

  60. P3 18:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark5v6
  61. P3 19:28Shot by Kronwall, saved by Ullmark5v6
  62. P3 19:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  64. P3 0:00Final5v6