Sat, Feb 9, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 1, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
11%
49%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:55 | 0.07 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:54 | 0.43 | 59.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.10 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.07 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.05 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.06 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.25 | 50.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.15 | 54.0% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.02 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.03 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.07 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.14 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.29 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.03 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.12 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.17 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.63 | −1.4 | 57:28 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.05 | 48.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:39 | 0.07 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.02 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 46.6% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.07 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.13 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.01 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.13 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.06 | 54.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.10 | 29.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.21 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.03 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.05 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.11 | 65.4% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.32 | 54.6% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:00 | 0.18 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.08 | 61.8% | +19.4 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.07 | +1.1 | 60:00 |