Thu, Feb 14, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
St. Louis Blues 4, Arizona Coyotes 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 27 | 18 | 19 | 424 |
| ARI | 06 | 06 | 09 | 021 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:33STLJoel EdmundsonGWGAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Alexander Steen · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 15:31STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Joel Edmundson, Oskar Sundqvist · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–0
- P2 16:21STLVladimir TarasenkoPPAssists: Brayden Schenn, Robert Thomas · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–0
- P3 12:03STLRobert BortuzzoAssists: Vince Dunn, Oskar Sundqvist · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–0
Penalties (6)
- P2 5:20ARIJakob Chychrun: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:39STLPatrick Maroon: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:46ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:17STLOskar Sundqvist: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:47STLAlex Pietrangelo: Holding2 min
- P3 14:56ARIClayton Keller: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestMaroon – Sundqvist – Sanford8:41
xG 0.67–0.24 (73%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Steen – Bozak – Schwartz10:59
xG 0.19–0.17 (53%)attempts 4–13goals 1–0
- O'Reilly – Schenn – Tarasenko11:34
xG 0.17–0.25 (41%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- MacEachern – Barbashev – Thomas7:12
xG 0.18–0.26 (40%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Edmundson16:51
xG 0.91–0.64 (59%)attempts 20–16goals 2–0
- Bortuzzo – Dunn10:10
xG 0.38–0.16 (71%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Bouwmeester – Parayko15:45
xG 0.06–0.32 (15%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWeal – Fischer – Garland10:02
xG 0.58–0.21 (74%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Richardson – Archibald – Crouse11:11
xG 0.27–0.23 (54%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Keller11:06
xG 0.28–0.40 (41%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Stepan – Panik – Hinostroza10:41
xG 0.13–0.51 (21%)attempts 9–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson12:32
xG 0.33–0.25 (57%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Oesterle3:33
xG 0.10–0.02 (83%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun15:02
xG 0.52–0.60 (46%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).