Mon, Feb 18, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Boston Bruins 6, San Jose Sharks 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 38 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 620 |
| SJS | 18 | 314 | 111 | 05 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:49BOSTorey KrugPPAssists: David Krejci, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 16:26BOSZdeno CharaAssists: Sean Kuraly · Slap, 0.03 xG2–0
- P1 18:24BOSKarson KuhlmanAssists: Jake DeBrusk, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–0
- P1 19:57SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Joe Pavelski · Backhand, 0.19 xG3–1
- P2 2:24SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Brent Burns, Logan Couture · Tip-in, 0.20 xG3–2
- P2 6:30BOSJake DeBruskPPAssists: Danton Heinen, David Backes · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–2
- P2 16:03SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Marcus Sorensen, Radim Simek · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–3
- P2 19:35SJSLogan CoutureUnassisted · Wrist, 0.33 xG4–4
- P3 13:32SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Joe Pavelski, Justin Braun · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–5
- P3 18:11BOSChris WagnerAssists: Brandon Carlo, Noel Acciari · Tip-in, 0.15 xG5–5
- OT 3:59BOSCharlie McAvoyGWGAssists: David Krejci, Jake DeBrusk · Slap, 0.10 xG6–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 10:56SJSTomas Hertl: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:04SJSEvander Kane: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 1:40BOSKevan Miller: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- P2 4:43SJSLogan Couture: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:25BOSChris Wagner: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:25SJSJustin Braun: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:31SJSJoe Thornton: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:35BOSBrad Marchand: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 1:57BOSDavid Backes: Delaying game bench2 min
- P3 15:42BOSZdeno Chara: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:42SJSJoe Pavelski: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Acciari won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestWagner – Kuraly – Acciari11:29
xG 0.98–0.47 (67%)attempts 10–13goals 2–2
- Backes – Nordstrom – Frederic4:47
xG 0.07–0.10 (39%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Heinen11:47
xG 0.11–0.19 (36%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Krejci – DeBrusk – Kuhlman8:35
xG 0.16–0.29 (35%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Carlo2:36
xG 0.62–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:37
xG 0.04–0.03 (58%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug2:34
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Couture – Meier13:21
xG 0.57–0.15 (79%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc9:30
xG 0.32–0.20 (62%)attempts 6–6goals 1–1
- Kane – Hertl – Radil3:37
xG 0.22–0.10 (68%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Karlsson – Radil4:15
xG 0.06–0.05 (55%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Karlsson5:24
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–1goals 1–0
- Burns – Simek10:59
xG 0.34–0.05 (87%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Braun – Dillon13:01
xG 0.34–0.11 (76%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).