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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Washington Capitals

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Gardiner, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 4:11Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 5:54Shot by Marner, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 6:23Shot by Vrana, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 6:32Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 6:35Shot by Marleau, saved by Holtby
  8. P1 7:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  9. P1 8:01Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 8:20Shot by Boyd, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:32Shot by Vrana, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 12:53Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 13:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  14. P1 13:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  15. P1 14:44Shot by Orlov, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 15:52Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 16:01Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 18:17Shot by Gardiner, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 18:23Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 18:41Shot by Vrana, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 19:35Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  25. P2 1:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  26. P2 2:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  27. P2 3:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 3:38Rielly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Kempny

  29. P2 3:49Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen4v5
  30. P2 3:54Goal by Ovechkin (Carlson, Oshie)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Zaitsev, Lindholm · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov

  31. P2 4:59Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 5:51Zaitsev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, Zaitsev · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Dowd, Boyd, Kempny

  33. P2 9:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby
  34. P2 9:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Holtby6v5
  35. P2 9:53Kempny: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Rielly, Brown, Nylander, Matthews · WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Vrana, Kempny

  36. P2 10:10Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby5v4
  37. P2 10:14Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby5v4
  38. P2 10:23Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby5v4
  39. P2 11:12Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby5v4
  40. P2 12:07Goal by Connolly (Eller, Wilson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Gardiner, Tavares, Nylander, Marner · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Connolly, Wilson, Djoos

  41. P2 12:45Shot by Kempny, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 14:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 15:34Shot by Dowd, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 16:31Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 16:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 16:37Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 17:37Shot by Carlson, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 19:25Brown: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Brown, Nylander · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Eller, Connolly, Burakovsky

  49. P2 19:25Burakovsky: Cross checking (2 min)4v6

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Brown, Nylander · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Niskanen, Eller, Connolly, Burakovsky

  50. P2 0:00Shot by Backstrom, saved by Andersen4v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:20Shot by Orlov, saved by Andersen4v4
  54. P3 3:01Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  55. P3 3:12Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  56. P3 3:36Shot by Marner, saved by Holtby
  57. P3 4:09Shot by Muzzin, saved by Holtby
  58. P3 4:13Shot by Dermott, saved by Holtby
  59. P3 4:15Shot by Muzzin, saved by Holtby
  60. P3 4:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 4:23Goal by Johnsson (Matthews)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews · WSH Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Djoos, Burakovsky

  62. P3 5:26Shot by Gardiner, saved by Holtby
  63. P3 5:48Shot by Hyman, saved by Holtby
  64. P3 5:48Carlson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov

  65. P3 6:29Shot by Rielly, saved by Holtby5v4
  66. P3 6:37Shot by Marner, saved by Holtby5v4
  67. P3 6:46Goal by Wilson (Eller)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · WSH Eller, Orlov, Wilson, Kempny

  68. P3 7:52Muzzin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Nylander, Kapanen, Dermott · WSH Orpik, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Carlson

  69. P3 9:04Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Andersen4v5
  70. P3 9:10Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Andersen4v5
  71. P3 11:47Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 11:55Shot by Connolly, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 12:18Shot by Kapanen, saved by Holtby
  74. P3 12:30Shot by Hainsey, saved by Holtby
  75. P3 13:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Holtby
  76. P3 13:55Shot by Marner, saved by Holtby
  77. P3 14:08Shot by Dermott, saved by Holtby
  78. P3 15:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Holtby
  79. P3 15:30Shot by Connolly, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 16:16Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  81. P3 18:50Shot by Johnsson, saved by Holtby6v5
  82. P3 19:27Goal by Tavares (Rielly)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson

  83. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  84. P3 0:00Final6v5