Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
54%
8%
31%
TOR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 26:43 | 0.25 | 46.0% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.16 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.07 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:31 | 0.30 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.15 | 40.5% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:08 | 0.45 | 49.6% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.35 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.17 | 54.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.40 | 29.6% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.03 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:02 | 0.50 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.10 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.04 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:23 | 0.21 | 27.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.14 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 40 | 2 | .952 | 4.14 | +2.1 | 59:59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:11 | 0.07 | 49.8% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:07 | 0.11 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.24 | 49.4% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:22 | 0.55 | 47.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.37 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.12 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 18:09 | 0.91 | 69.6% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.10 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:21 | 0.33 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.42 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.08 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.38 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.02 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.04 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:58 | 0.37 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:18 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:38 | 0.02 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:00 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.33 | +0.3 | 56:09 |