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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

John CarlsonD · #74011−1326:430.2546.0%+20.8
Dmitry OrlovD · #9000+1222:100.1637.3%0.0
Matt NiskanenD · #2000+1022:060.0050.0%0.0
Michal KempnyD · #6000+1120:000.0749.2%0.0
Nicklas BackstromC · #190000419:310.3056.3%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8101−1318:210.1540.5%+20.8
Tom WilsonRW · #43112+1318:080.4549.6%+30.7
Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92000−1317:190.3539.5%0.0
T.J. OshieRW · #770110017:160.1754.7%+20.8
Brooks OrpikD · #44000−2017:000.0041.7%0.0
Lars EllerC · #20022+1016:520.4029.6%+30.7
Andre BurakovskyLW · #65000−1113:030.0326.4%0.0
Jakub VranaLW · #130000312:020.5056.1%0.0
Nic DowdC · #260000111:390.1069.3%0.0
Chandler StephensonC · #180000011:330.0469.3%0.0
Brett ConnollyRW · #101010311:230.2127.1%+15.0
Travis BoydC · #720000110:380.1464.5%0.0
Christian DjoosD · #29000008:170.0050.2%0.0
Braden Holtby#70W42402.9524.14+2.159:59

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1225:110.0749.8%+1.8
Jake GardinerD · #510000322:070.1168.1%0.0
John TavaresC · #91101−1221:210.2449.4%+1.8
Auston MatthewsC · #34011+1420:220.5547.3%+14.7
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−1420:160.3760.9%0.0
Jake MuzzinD · #8000−1219:560.1251.3%0.0
Andreas JohnssonLW · #18101+11018:090.9169.6%+14.7
Kasperi KapanenRW · #24000+1117:210.1047.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #29000−1517:210.3370.6%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110000117:170.4275.0%0.0
Travis DermottD · #230000217:170.0857.3%0.0
Patrick MarleauC · #120000116:270.3848.5%0.0
Ron HainseyD · #2000+1116:010.0245.6%0.0
Nikita ZaitsevD · #220000015:350.0453.9%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #280000414:580.3771.7%0.0
Tyler EnnisRW · #63000007:180.004.0%0.0
Frederik GauthierC · #33000005:380.023.8%0.0
Par LindholmC · #26000005:000.007.7%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L28253.8933.33+0.356:09