Thu, Feb 21, 2019·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 011 | 06 | 220 | 11 | 338 |
| VAN | 117 | 09 | 15 | 01 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:47VANBo HorvatAssists: Antoine Roussel, Markus Granlund · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P3 10:34ARIJakob ChychrunPPAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Slap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 15:45ARILawson CrouseAssists: Josh Archibald, Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 16:57VANAdam GaudetteAssists: Antoine Roussel, Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- OT 1:54ARIAlex GalchenyukGWGAssists: Alex Goligoski, Vinnie Hinostroza · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:33VANErik Gudbranson: Holding2 min
- P1 18:59ARIAlex Goligoski: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:11ARINick Cousins: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:47ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:59VANDerrick Pouliot: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Archibald – Crouse12:56
xG 0.42–0.13 (76%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Cousins – Garland – Keller5:37
xG 0.15–0.02 (87%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Richardson – Kempe – Hinostroza7:18
xG 0.62–0.51 (55%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Panik – Weal – Garland2:14
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun16:05
xG 0.88–0.31 (74%)attempts 24–14goals 0–0
- Connauton – Oesterle13:16
xG 0.45–0.46 (50%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Oesterle2:25
xG 0.01–0.07 (14%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSpooner – Boeser – Pettersson11:49
xG 0.59–0.15 (80%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Roussel – Granlund – Gaudette4:54
xG 0.20–0.00 (98%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Roussel – Granlund – Horvat3:42
xG 0.23–0.06 (79%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Beagle – Motte3:23
xG 0.00–0.06 (6%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Stecher20:42
xG 0.68–0.33 (68%)attempts 18–19goals 2–0
- Gudbranson – Sautner11:31
xG 0.68–0.68 (50%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Biega – Hutton2:01
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).