Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 24, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

San Jose Sharks 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:29Shot by Goodrow, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 3:36Shot by Thornton, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 3:46Goal by Heed (Vlasic, Labanc)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Glendening, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · SJS Thornton, Vlasic, Heed, Labanc, Radil

  5. P1 5:33Shot by Nielsen, saved by Dell
  6. P1 6:02Shot by Nielsen, saved by Dell
  7. P1 9:01Shot by Burns, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 9:36Shot by Glendening, saved by Dell
  9. P1 9:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Dell
  10. P1 9:49Shot by Dillon, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 10:30Shot by Green, saved by Dell
  12. P1 10:37Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell
  13. P1 10:55Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell
  14. P1 13:03Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Dell
  15. P1 13:55Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell
  16. P1 14:39Goal by Helm (Abdelkader, Green)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm, Glendening · SJS Burns, Kane, Donskoi, Hertl, Simek

  17. P1 16:38Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell
  18. P1 17:22Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Dell
  19. P1 17:47Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Dell
  20. P1 19:21Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell
  21. P1 19:23Goal by Nyquist (Larkin, Bertuzzi)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nyquist, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Meier

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:24Shot by Simek, saved by Bernier
  25. P2 1:00Dillon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin · SJS Braun, Kane, Dillon, Donskoi, Hertl

  26. P2 1:14Larkin: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Couture, Hertl

  27. P2 1:28Shot by Burns, saved by Bernier4v4
  28. P2 2:55Shot by Heed, saved by Bernier4v4
  29. P2 5:29Shot by Heed, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 6:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Dell
  31. P2 6:37Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 6:53Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Dell
  33. P2 8:00Goal by Green (Abdelkader, Mantha)6v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Athanasiou, Mantha · SJS Thornton, Burns, Labanc, Simek, Radil

  34. P2 8:09Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 9:04Shot by Thornton, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 9:20Shot by Labanc, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 11:04Shot by Heed, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 11:35Shot by Dillon, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 12:05Shot by Braun, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 13:50Goal by Burns (Meier, Couture)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Hronek · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Heed, Meier

  41. P2 14:20Ericsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Larkin, Rasmussen, Zadina · SJS Thornton, Braun, Dillon, Labanc, Radil

  42. P2 14:59Shot by Burns, saved by Bernier4v5
  43. P2 15:50Goal by Pavelski (Thornton, Burns)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Hertl, Labanc

  44. P2 16:45Goal by Pavelski (Vlasic, Hertl)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Athanasiou, Mantha · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Donskoi, Heed, Hertl

  45. P2 18:44Shot by Hertl, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:40Shot by Hertl, saved by Bernier
  49. P3 1:12Shot by Braun, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 2:55Shot by Meier, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 4:17Shot by Donskoi, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 6:54Shot by Couture, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 7:34Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 9:06Shot by Meier, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 9:08DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Abdelkader, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Heed, Meier

  56. P3 9:17Shot by Couture, saved by Bernier4v5
  57. P3 9:56Shot by Labanc, saved by Bernier4v5
  58. P3 11:10Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 11:40Shot by Dillon, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 12:39Braun: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Kane, Simek

  61. P3 12:49Shot by Couture, saved by Bernier5v4
  62. P3 13:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell5v4
  63. P3 14:13Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier5v4
  64. P3 16:23Shot by Couture, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 17:07Shot by Hronek, saved by Dell
  66. P3 16:35Shot by Goodrow, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 17:34Shot by Glendening, saved by Dell
  68. P3 18:31Shot by Nyquist, saved by Dell
  69. P3 19:00Goal by Pavelski (Couture)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Rasmussen · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Goodrow

  70. P3 19:43Shot by Zadina, saved by Dell
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final