Sun, Feb 24, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Winnipeg Jets 1, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 16 | 012 | 017 | 135 |
| ARI | 19 | 29 | 16 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:11WPGPatrik LainePPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 5:43ARIBrad RichardsonAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 7:40ARILawson CrouseGWGAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 13:46ARIClayton KellerAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–3
- P3 19:29ARIJosh ArchibaldENAssists: Derek Stepan · Backhand, 0.64 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:27ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 8:21WPGAdam Lowry: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:44ARIMario Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:40WPGBen Chiarot: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:49ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:04ARIRichard Panik: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Copp – Tanev7:55
xG 0.18–0.07 (72%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Laine12:03
xG 0.33–0.32 (51%)attempts 11–10goals 0–2
- Little – Ehlers – Connor10:34
xG 0.33–0.46 (42%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
- Perreault – Roslovic – Appleton5:42
xG 0.12–0.29 (29%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Niku5:08
xG 0.20–0.10 (68%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Trouba – Morrissey12:34
xG 0.46–0.36 (56%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Myers – Kulikov8:47
xG 0.24–0.26 (48%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPanik – Weal – Garland5:44
xG 0.24–0.07 (77%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Richardson – Kempe – Hinostroza9:23
xG 0.35–0.25 (58%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Keller11:19
xG 0.42–0.42 (50%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Stepan – Archibald – Crouse11:43
xG 0.25–0.38 (40%)attempts 8–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun15:03
xG 0.50–0.43 (54%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Oesterle – Lyubushkin11:42
xG 0.29–0.35 (45%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson18:16
xG 0.42–0.67 (38%)attempts 11–21goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).