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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 25, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Florida Panthers 4, Colorado Avalanche 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.

COL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:41Shot by Pysyk, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 4:15Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 4:58Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 5:53McGinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brassard, Calvert, Barrie, Graves, MacKinnon · FLA Brouwer, McGinn, Brown, McCoshen, Borgstrom

  6. P1 7:03Shot by Jost, saved by Luongo5v4
  7. P1 9:14Shot by Zadorov, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 9:25Shot by Soderberg, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 12:43Shot by Graves, saved by Luongo
  10. P1 13:57Shot by Nemeth, saved by Luongo
  11. P1 14:17Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 14:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo
  13. P1 16:14Shot by Brouwer, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 16:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 17:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  16. P1 17:57Shot by Hunt, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 18:43Shot by Landeskog, saved by Luongo
  18. P1 19:05Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:19Shot by Compher, saved by Luongo
  22. P2 1:22Shot by Landeskog, saved by Luongo
  23. P2 1:55Shot by Sheahan, saved by Varlamov
  24. P2 1:56Shot by Sheahan, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 1:58Shot by Hoffman, saved by Varlamov
  26. P2 2:12Goal by Jost (Nemeth, Compher)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, Compher, Zadorov, Jost · FLA Brouwer, Sheahan, Brown, McCoshen, Hunt

  27. P2 4:09Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Luongo
  28. P2 4:41Borgstrom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Landeskog, Compher, Girard · FLA Brouwer, Yandle, Weegar, Barkov, Borgstrom

  29. P2 4:48Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov5v4
  30. P2 6:21Shot by Brassard, saved by Luongo5v4
  31. P2 6:37Shot by Girard, saved by Luongo5v4
  32. P2 6:42Shot by Brassard, saved by Luongo
  33. P2 8:27Shot by Barrie, saved by Luongo
  34. P2 8:48Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 9:21Shot by Soderberg, saved by Luongo
  36. P2 9:48Shot by Jost, saved by Luongo
  37. P2 10:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 10:11Shot by Weegar, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 11:12Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Varlamov5v6
  40. P2 11:45Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov5v6
  41. P2 11:46Bourque: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Barrie, Bourque, Graves, Rantanen, Dries · FLA Yandle, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Weegar, Barkov, Vatrano

  42. P2 11:56Shot by Nemeth, saved by Luongo4v5
  43. P2 12:19Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Varlamov4v5
  44. P2 12:22Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  45. P2 14:08Shot by Trocheck, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 14:31Goal by Rantanen (Barrie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · FLA Yandle, Sheahan, Ekblad, Hawryluk, Hunt

  47. P2 14:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 16:05Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Luongo
  49. P2 18:06Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 18:26Goal by Brouwer (Yandle, Weegar)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Kerfoot, Graves, MacKinnon, Rantanen · FLA Brouwer, Yandle, Sheahan, Weegar, Hawryluk

  51. P2 18:33Zadorov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brassard, Calvert, Nemeth, Zadorov, Jost · FLA Brouwer, Yandle, Weegar, Hawryluk, Borgstrom

  52. P2 19:07Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov4v5
  53. P2 19:14Shot by Hoffman, saved by Varlamov4v5
  54. P2 19:17Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  55. P2 19:26Shot by Hoffman, saved by Varlamov4v5
  56. P2 19:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Varlamov4v5
  57. P2 19:35Goal by Dadonov (Barkov, Hoffman)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Calvert, Nemeth, Landeskog · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 0:28Shot by Vatrano, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 2:02Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Luongo
  63. P3 2:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Luongo
  64. P3 3:12Shot by Girard, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 3:30Shot by Trocheck, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 4:25Shot by McCoshen, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 4:46Shot by McGinn, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 6:32Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luongo
  69. P3 6:41Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 7:21Shot by Hoffman, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 7:49Goal by Brassard (Graves, Barrie)+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Barrie, Graves, MacKinnon, Jost · FLA Pysyk, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad, Vatrano

  72. P3 10:11Shot by Pysyk, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 10:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luongo
  74. P3 11:57Goal by Hoffman (Yandle, Weegar)+37 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Andrighetto, Graves, Compher · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Weegar, Borgstrom

  75. P3 12:26Shot by Borgstrom, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 12:36Shot by Calvert, saved by Luongo
  77. P3 12:39Shot by Jost, saved by Luongo
  78. P3 12:39Shot by Calvert, saved by Luongo
  79. P3 14:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 16:19Shot by Soderberg, saved by Luongo
  81. P3 18:09Shot by Calvert, saved by Luongo
  82. P3 18:21Shot by Jost, saved by Luongo
  83. P3 19:24Shot by Girard, saved by Luongo
  84. P3 19:57Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 0:17Shot by Girard, saved by Luongo3v3
  88. OT 0:26Goal by Ekblad (Hoffman, Trocheck)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Girard · FLA Hoffman, Trocheck, Ekblad

  89. OT 0:26Period end
  90. OT 0:26Final