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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 27, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Benning, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:32Shot by Gagner, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Rieder, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 7:04Shot by Benning, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 8:19Shot by Marleau, saved by Koskinen
  9. P1 8:33Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Koskinen
  10. P1 9:43Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:04Rielly: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Rielly, Brown, Nylander, Zaitsev · EDM Lucic, Larsson, Klefbom, Cave, Currie, McDavid

  12. P1 10:26Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen4v5
  13. P1 11:05Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen4v5
  14. P1 11:06Goal by Draisaitl (McDavid, Nurse)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Muzzin, Brown, Kapanen · EDM Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid

  15. P1 11:39Shot by Cave, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 11:53Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 14:18Shot by Cave, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 15:12Shot by Muzzin, saved by Koskinen
  19. P1 15:20Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen
  20. P1 15:57Chiasson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · EDM Chiasson, Rieder, Klefbom, Benning, Draisaitl

  21. P1 16:25Shot by Muzzin, saved by Koskinen5v4
  22. P1 16:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Koskinen5v4
  23. P1 18:00Shot by Muzzin, saved by Koskinen
  24. P1 18:02Goal by Marleau (Muzzin, Brown)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Brown, Nylander, Dermott · EDM Russell, Chiasson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid

  25. P1 18:26Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 18:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Rieder, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P1 16:58Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen5v4
  30. P1 16:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen5v4
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:24Shot by Muzzin, saved by Koskinen
  33. P2 0:54Shot by Hainsey, saved by Koskinen
  34. P2 1:09Goal by Marner (Hyman, Hainsey)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · EDM Gagner, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid

  35. P2 2:26Goal by Johnsson (Kapanen, Matthews)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews · EDM Gagner, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Benning, McDavid

  36. P2 3:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  37. P2 4:07Nurse: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · EDM Russell, Chiasson, Rieder, Nurse, Draisaitl

  38. P2 4:50Goal by Nylander (Ennis, Marleau)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Ennis, Nylander, Kapanen · EDM Sekera, Malone, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson

  39. P2 6:01Shot by Dermott, saved by Stolarz
  40. P2 6:09Shot by Kapanen, saved by Stolarz
  41. P2 6:39Cave: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Brown, Nylander, Ozhiganov · EDM Sekera, Lucic, Benning, Cave, Currie

  42. P2 8:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Stolarz5v4
  43. P2 8:09Goal by Johnsson (Tavares, Marner)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · EDM Rieder, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom

  44. P2 9:43Shot by Rieder, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 10:20Shot by Gagner, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 10:29Shot by Rielly, saved by Stolarz
  47. P2 11:02Shot by Lucic, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 11:04Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 11:05Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 11:59Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 12:08Shot by Russell, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 15:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Stolarz
  53. P2 16:14Shot by Hyman, saved by Stolarz
  54. P2 17:12Matthews: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brown, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Ozhiganov · EDM Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid

  55. P2 18:47Draisaitl: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Brown, Marner · EDM Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid

  56. P2 19:51Benning: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Zaitsev · EDM Sekera, Rieder, Nugent-Hopkins, Benning

  57. P2 19:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Stolarz5v3
  58. P2 0:00Period end5v3
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:25Goal by Tavares (Marner, Nylander)5v3+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · EDM Russell, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse

  61. P3 0:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Stolarz5v4
  62. P3 2:40Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 2:56Shot by Moore, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 5:00Shot by Ennis, saved by Stolarz
  65. P3 5:15Shot by Gauthier, saved by Stolarz
  66. P3 5:28Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 6:21Shot by Benning, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 6:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Stolarz
  69. P3 6:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Stolarz
  70. P3 7:53Shot by Dermott, saved by Stolarz
  71. P3 8:00Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 9:20Shot by Kapanen, saved by Stolarz
  73. P3 9:41Shot by Johnsson, saved by Stolarz
  74. P3 10:54Shot by Hyman, saved by Stolarz
  75. P3 13:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Stolarz
  76. P3 14:50Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 15:35Shot by Sekera, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 16:01Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 16:06Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 16:06Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Nurse)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev · EDM Russell, Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid

  81. P3 16:18Shot by Cave, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 17:28Shot by Rieder, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 17:44Shot by Benning, saved by Andersen
  84. P3 18:47Shot by Gagner, saved by Andersen
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final