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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 28, 2019·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Florida Panthers 5, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.

VGK winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hoffman–Huberdeau–BarkovDadonov–Trocheck–VatranoBrouwer–Sheahan–HawrylukMcGinn–Hunt–BorgstromHoffman–Trocheck–HuberdeauMatheson–EkbladYandle–PysykBrown–McCoshen
Stastny–Pacioretty–Stone3:160.16–0.003:300.28–0.014:220.19–0.020:320.00–0.006:410.27–0.007:500.47–0.030:450.00–0.00
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault4:190.40–0.162:400.45–0.070:550.02–0.001:110.04–0.000:330.01–0.006:490.42–0.333:450.52–0.650:490.04–0.00
Eakin–Carpenter–Tuch1:460.00–0.052:240.00–0.071:250.05–0.042:310.07–0.000:370.00–0.043:090.05–0.072:060.00–0.114:350.07–0.04
Reaves–Bellemare–Nosek1:490.10–0.091:080.14–0.050:400.01–0.002:360.14–0.16
McNabb–Theodore5:270.41–0.072:090.06–0.033:260.14–0.080:330.00–0.003:570.02–0.546:150.46–0.035:150.14–0.18
Engelland–Schmidt6:530.42–0.251:100.00–0.050:550.00–0.429:020.38–0.332:410.05–0.111:470.00–0.45
Merrill–Miller1:160.04–0.001:510.00–0.075:300.30–0.121:520.04–0.003:580.15–0.094:550.23–0.672:210.04–0.08
Merrill–Theodore1:040.31–0.002:030.13–0.110:330.26–0.00
Engelland–Merrill1:130.00–0.020:320.00–0.030:370.00–0.000:540.00–0.031:080.00–0.00
Miller–Schmidt0:490.07–0.000:560.07–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStone FStastny FPacioretty FEakin FCarpenter FTuch FBellemare FReaves FNosek FEngelland DSchmidt DMcNabb DTheodore DMerrill DMiller DSubban GHuberdeau FBarkov FHoffman FTrocheck FDadonov FVatrano FHawryluk FSheahan FBrouwer FHunt FMcGinn FBorgstrom FEkblad DMatheson DYandle DPysyk DBrown DMcCoshen DLuongo G
VGKFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mike MathesonFLA3928:320:441:4729
Aaron EkbladFLA3927:220:421:4728
Shea TheodoreVGK3223:500:451:2657
Aleksander BarkovFLA3222:550:431:4547
Mark StoneVGK2322:000:571:3852
Nate SchmidtVGK2921:380:451:5551
Jon MerrillVGK2921:160:441:3663
Keith YandleFLA3320:510:381:5377
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2920:470:431:4235
Paul StastnyVGK2320:390:541:4162
Max PaciorettyVGK2320:170:532:0652
Mark PysykFLA2919:590:411:2655
Brayden McNabbVGK2519:500:481:3737
Deryk EngellandVGK2619:360:451:5573
Vincent TrocheckFLA2819:140:411:2638
Cody EakinVGK2118:440:541:2734
Mike HoffmanFLA2818:160:391:2935
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2418:120:461:2853
William KarlssonVGK2617:540:411:2843
Colin MillerVGK2617:480:411:1970
Reilly SmithVGK2417:230:431:1943
Riley SheahanFLA2517:100:411:3234
Alex TuchVGK1816:100:541:1740
Evgenii DadonovFLA2215:330:421:2665
Ryan CarpenterVGK1815:150:511:1732
Troy BrouwerFLA2214:570:411:4933
Frank VatranoFLA1914:430:461:2626
Joshua BrownFLA2213:390:371:1600
Ian McCoshenFLA2313:070:341:0110
Jamie McGinnFLA2112:330:361:0220
Jayce HawrylukFLA1812:120:411:3921
Henrik BorgstromFLA149:510:421:0210
Dryden HuntFLA149:190:401:1500
Tomas NosekVGK117:070:391:0702
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK106:380:401:0702
Ryan ReavesVGK86:000:451:0901