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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 4, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Calgary Flames 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 65% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:08Shot by Andersson, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:11Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Hainsey, saved by Rittich
  6. P1 3:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Rittich
  7. P1 3:52Shot by Czarnik, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:33Shot by Hathaway, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 4:57Shot by Marleau, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 5:48Shot by Giordano, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:06Shot by Hamonic, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 8:05Shot by Giordano, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 9:07Gaudreau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  14. P1 9:15Shot by Ennis, saved by Rittich4v5
  15. P1 9:50Goal by Ennis (Muzzin, Kapanen)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Hamonic, Jankowski · TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Ennis, Nylander, Kapanen

  16. P1 10:55Shot by Jankowski, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 12:13Shot by Hainsey, saved by Rittich
  18. P1 13:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Rittich
  19. P1 13:59Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 14:15Shot by Andersson, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 14:50Shot by Jankowski, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 16:20Shot by Czarnik, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 17:15Goal by Ennis (Marincin, Moore)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jankowski, Hathaway, Bennett, Andersson, Kylington · TOR Ennis, Marincin, Gauthier, Zaitsev, Moore

  24. P1 18:51Shot by Marner, saved by Rittich
  25. P1 18:51Goal by Hyman (Marner)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:56Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 1:07Shot by Kapanen, saved by Rittich
  30. P2 2:57Shot by Brodie, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 3:02Shot by Hathaway, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 3:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 4:11Goal by Hyman (Marner, Rielly)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  34. P2 4:27Shot by Czarnik, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 4:44Shot by Kylington, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 5:57Shot by Kapanen, saved by Rittich
  37. P2 6:54Shot by Monahan, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 7:11Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 8:21Shot by Bennett, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:30Shot by Hyman, saved by Rittich
  41. P2 11:50Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 11:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Rittich
  43. P2 12:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Rittich
  44. P2 13:16Shot by Johnsson, saved by Rittich
  45. P2 13:25Shot by Johnsson, saved by Rittich
  46. P2 13:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Rittich
  47. P2 15:20Shot by Andersson, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 15:25Marincin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Hathaway, Mangiapane, Andersson, Kylington, Ryan · TOR Muzzin, Ennis, Marincin, Gauthier, Moore

  49. P2 15:31Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen5v4
  50. P2 15:35Goal by Tkachuk (Gaudreau, Monahan)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Gauthier, Zaitsev

  51. P2 17:20Shot by Jankowski, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 17:40Shot by Hainsey, saved by Rittich
  53. P2 18:40Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 19:13Shot by Backlund, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 19:25Shot by Kapanen, saved by Rittich
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 3:01Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 3:15Goal by Ennis (Moore, Muzzin)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin · TOR Muzzin, Ennis, Gauthier, Zaitsev, Moore

  60. P3 4:08Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 4:47Shot by Bennett, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 5:08Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich
  63. P3 7:29Shot by Backlund, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 7:49Shot by Ennis, saved by Rittich
  65. P3 8:24Tkachuk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Hanifin, Tkachuk · TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews

  66. P3 8:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich4v5
  67. P3 8:38Shot by Jankowski, saved by Andersen4v5
  68. P3 11:26Shot by Marincin, saved by Rittich
  69. P3 11:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich
  70. P3 12:24Goal by Ryan (Giordano, Mangiapane)0 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brodie, Mangiapane, Czarnik, Ryan · TOR Marleau, Marincin, Nylander, Kapanen, Ozhiganov

  71. P3 12:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich
  72. P3 12:56Goal by Marner (Tavares)0 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  73. P3 15:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich
  74. P3 15:58Shot by Hathaway, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 17:04Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 18:12Shot by Kapanen, saved by Rittich
  77. P3 0:00Shot by Hathaway, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final