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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 5, 2019·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Minnesota Wild 4, Nashville Predators 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.

NSH winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 1:45Shot by Donovan, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 1:48Goal by Smith (Grimaldi, Donovan)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Donovan, Smith, Irwin, Grimaldi · MIN Parise, Bitetto, Hunt, Fiala, Kunin

  6. P1 4:17Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 4:49Shot by Ekholm, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 9:26Shot by Brown, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 9:55Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:26Shot by Boyle, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 12:35Shot by Donato, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 12:51Shot by Donato, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 12:56Shot by Donato, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 13:55Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 15:25Goal by Fiala (Pateryn)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund · MIN Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin, Fiala, Kunin

  16. P1 15:38Shot by Subban, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 16:04Shot by Brown, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 17:12Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 17:30Shot by Subban, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 17:38Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 17:54Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 18:00Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 18:29Johansen: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Simmonds, Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi · MIN Parise, Spurgeon, Brodin, Fiala, Donato, Kunin

  24. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:30Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P2 1:36Shot by Ellis, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 3:58Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 4:47Shot by Parise, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 5:22Shot by Subban, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P2 6:09Shot by Pateryn, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 7:07Shot by Donato, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 7:44Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 8:55Shot by Pateryn, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 12:26Zucker: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Granlund, Sissons · MIN Staal, Zucker, Bitetto, Hunt, Donato

  36. P2 13:38Goal by Boyle (Subban, Arvidsson)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Boyle, Subban, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson · MIN Fehr, Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin

  37. P2 14:24Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 16:57Shot by Johansen, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 17:03Shot by Ekholm, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 17:49Goal by Aberg (Greenway, Spurgeon)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Aberg, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  41. P2 18:29Irwin: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Simmonds, Donovan, Irwin, Grimaldi · MIN Staal, Suter, Fehr, Spurgeon, Foligno, Brown

  42. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:35Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  45. P3 2:25Goal by Fehr (Foligno)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Turris, Donovan, Smith, Irwin, Granlund · MIN Fehr, Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin, Brown

  46. P3 2:47Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 2:59Goal by Josi (Ellis, Grimaldi)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Simmonds, Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi · MIN Bitetto, Hunt, Aberg, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  48. P3 4:48Shot by Bonino, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P3 5:24Shot by Greenway, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 6:03Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P3 6:27Shot by Josi, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P3 6:29Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dubnyk
  53. P3 7:02Shot by Aberg, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 7:04Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 8:21Goal by Arvidsson, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Granlund, Sissons, Arvidsson · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Brodin, Fiala, Kunin

  56. P3 9:04Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 12:29Johansen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Brodin, Donato

  58. P3 15:40Shot by Zucker, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 16:39Shot by Brodin, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 17:23Shot by Subban, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 17:42Goal by Fiala (Parise, Staal)5v6+46 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Aberg, Fiala

  62. P3 18:38Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 18:10Shot by Greenway, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 19:28Shot by Sissons, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 18:12Shot by Greenway, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 19:50Shot by Kunin, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 2:10Shot by Parise, saved by Rinne3v4
  70. OT 2:11Granlund: Hooking (2 min)3v4

    On ice: NSH Subban, Johansen, Granlund · MIN Suter, Parise, Zucker, Aberg

  71. OT 5:00Period end4v4
  72. SO Period start
  73. SO Shot by Turris, saved by Dubnykother
  74. SO Shot by Ellis, saved by Dubnykother
  75. SO Shot by Aberg, saved by Rinneother
  76. SO Shot by Forsberg, saved by Dubnykother
  77. SO Goal by Johansen, unassistedother
  78. SO Shot by Donato, saved by Rinneother
  79. SO Period end
  80. SO Final