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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 5, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Detroit Red Wings 3, Colorado Avalanche 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Compher, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Zadorov, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 3:59Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 4:39Shot by Cole, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 6:28Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 6:34Shot by Mantha, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 8:05Shot by Zadina, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 10:58Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 12:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 13:54Shot by Zadorov, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 14:45Brassard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brassard, Calvert, Zadorov, Jost, Girard · DET Daley, Ericsson, Mantha, Larkin, Zadina

  14. P1 16:47Goal by Kronwall (Vanek, Nielsen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Brassard, Nemeth, Compher, Dries · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Bertuzzi, Zadina

  15. P1 18:15Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 18:45Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 19:18Athanasiou: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Zadorov · DET Kronwall, Glendening, Athanasiou, Bowey, Zadina

  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:18Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier5v4
  21. P2 1:20Shot by Compher, saved by Bernier
  22. P2 1:31Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  23. P2 1:44Goal by Compher (Soderberg, Wilson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Compher, Girard · DET Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, de la Rose

  24. P2 3:43Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 5:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 5:39DeKeyser: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek

  27. P2 6:04Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier5v4
  28. P2 7:06Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bernier5v4
  29. P2 7:39Shot by Girard, saved by Bernier5v4
  30. P2 7:41Shot by Girard, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 8:30Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 9:37Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 12:08Shot by Calvert, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 12:40Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 13:13Shot by de la Rose, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 15:51Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 16:08Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 16:13Shot by Zadina, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 16:56Nemeth: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Brassard, Nemeth, Compher, Girard · DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Vanek, Zadina

  40. P2 18:23Shot by Zadina, saved by Varlamov4v5
  41. P2 18:43Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov4v5
  42. P2 18:48Shot by Kronwall, saved by Varlamov4v5
  43. P2 18:55Shot by Cole, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 19:15Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 19:29Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 19:28Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:38Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 1:40Shot by Calvert, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 2:22Goal by DeKeyser (de la Rose, Abdelkader)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Jost, Dries · DET Abdelkader, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Bowey, Rasmussen

  52. P3 4:13Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 5:17Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 7:45Rasmussen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher, Dries · DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, de la Rose, Bowey, Rasmussen

  55. P3 8:29Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier5v4
  56. P3 8:30Goal by Rantanen (Barrie, Landeskog)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DET Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, Hronek

  57. P3 11:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 13:42Shot by Nemeth, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 14:39Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 16:18Wilson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Zadorov · DET Daley, Ericsson, Athanasiou, Mantha, Zadina

  61. P3 17:43Goal by Zadina (Hronek, Vanek)4v5+39 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Compher, Zadorov · DET Vanek, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hronek, Zadina

  62. P3 18:25Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, MacKinnon)6v5+43 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DET Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin, Hronek

  63. P3 19:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 19:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 0:33Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov3v3
  68. OT 0:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bernier3v3
  69. OT 1:37Shot by Zadina, saved by Varlamov3v3
  70. OT 2:29Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)3v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DET Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Mantha

  71. OT 2:29Period end3v3
  72. OT 2:29Final3v3