Sat, Mar 9, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 2, Arizona Coyotes 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 19 | 09 | 118 | 236 |
| ARI | 210 | 014 | 28 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:23ARIChristian DvorakPPAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Clayton Keller · Tip-in, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 9:30ARIMichael GrabnerSHAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P1 14:49LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–2
- P3 3:44LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Derek Forbort, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- P3 10:28ARIChristian DvorakGWGAssists: Alex Goligoski, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–3
- P3 15:34ARIMichael GrabnerUnassisted · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:08LAKJonny Brodzinski: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 8:24ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:53LAKKyle Clifford: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:53ARINick Cousins: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 11:04LAKAlex Iafallo: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:14LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:14LAKDrew Doughty: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kempe won the faceoff against Kempe
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Kempe – Grundstrom11:18
xG 0.69–0.24 (75%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Carter – Lewis – Clifford3:32
xG 0.19–0.06 (77%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Lewis – Clifford – Brodzinski6:41
xG 0.43–0.33 (57%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo10:10
xG 0.63–0.55 (54%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort15:34
xG 1.50–0.14 (91%)attempts 21–6goals 1–0
- Phaneuf – LaDue11:05
xG 0.24–0.34 (42%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
- Martinez – Roy15:40
xG 0.46–0.89 (34%)attempts 20–21goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPanik – Dvorak – Keller11:19
xG 0.79–0.17 (82%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Kempe – Archibald – Crouse9:28
xG 0.33–0.58 (37%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza9:01
xG 0.38–0.69 (35%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Fischer9:18
xG 0.14–0.52 (21%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Oesterle11:51
xG 0.53–0.35 (60%)attempts 10–16goals 1–0
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson16:04
xG 0.64–0.96 (40%)attempts 15–19goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun14:03
xG 0.46–1.06 (30%)attempts 13–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).