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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 11, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Colorado Avalanche 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 56% of the time.

COL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Hamilton, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Slavin, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 3:44Shot by Faulk, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 3:55Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 4:26Shot by Jost, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 4:28Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 4:28McGinn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Kerfoot, Jost · CAR de Haan, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark

  9. P1 4:44Shot by Martinook, saved by Grubauer5v4
  10. P1 5:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek5v4
  11. P1 5:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek5v4
  12. P1 5:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek5v4
  13. P1 6:18Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  14. P1 7:24Shot by Brassard, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 8:30de Haan: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Kerfoot, Jost · CAR de Haan, McKegg, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, Foegele

  16. P1 8:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek5v4
  17. P1 9:07Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek5v4
  18. P1 9:31Shot by Aho, saved by Grubauer5v4
  19. P1 11:23Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 12:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Grubauer
  21. P1 13:16Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 13:49Shot by Williams, saved by Grubauer
  23. P1 15:23Shot by Calvert, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 15:42Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 18:00Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 18:03Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:55Shot by Hamilton, saved by Grubauer
  30. P2 1:30Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Grubauer
  31. P2 1:32Shot by Aho, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 1:38Shot by Williams, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 2:03Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Calvert, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Jost · CAR de Haan, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark

  34. P2 3:04Shot by Hamilton, saved by Grubauer4v5
  35. P2 3:37Shot by Aho, saved by Grubauer4v5
  36. P2 3:37Shot by Faulk, saved by Grubauer4v5
  37. P2 4:33Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 5:54Shot by Jost, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 6:30Shot by Rantanen, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 7:20Shot by Brassard, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 7:57Shot by de Haan, saved by Grubauer
  42. P2 8:51Shot by Bourque, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 10:07Goal by Hamilton (Williams, Svechnikov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Calvert, Nemeth · CAR Williams, Staal, Hamilton, Pesce, Svechnikov

  44. P2 10:25Shot by Rantanen, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 10:54Shot by Rantanen, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 12:25Shot by Hamilton, saved by Grubauer
  47. P2 12:49Shot by Nemeth, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 14:14Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 14:55Aho: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Brassard, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CAR Williams, de Haan, Niederreiter, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  50. P2 15:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek5v4
  51. P2 16:54Shot by Girard, saved by Mrazek5v4
  52. P2 17:34Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Grubauer
  53. P2 19:00Shot by Pesce, saved by Grubauer
  54. P2 19:36Shot by Aho, saved by Grubauer
  55. P2 19:59Shot by Aho, saved by Grubauer
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 1:51Shot by Calvert, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 3:12Shot by Compher, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 3:40Shot by Williams, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 3:51Shot by Nemeth, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 6:30Shot by Maenalanen, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 6:33Shot by Maenalanen, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 6:46Shot by Compher, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 7:08Goal by Svechnikov (Teravainen, Faulk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Cole, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Pesce, Svechnikov

  67. P3 7:19Shot by Williams, saved by Grubauer
  68. P3 7:48Shot by Compher, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 10:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 10:49Shot by Faulk, saved by Grubauer
  71. P3 10:55Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  72. P3 11:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 12:05Shot by Teravainen, saved by Grubauer
  74. P3 12:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  75. P3 13:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mrazek
  76. P3 16:18Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 16:47Shot by Girard, saved by Mrazek
  78. P3 17:33Goal by Svechnikov (Teravainen, Pesce)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Brassard, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CAR Faulk, Teravainen, Pesce, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  79. P3 18:07Shot by Wallmark, saved by Grubauer
  80. P3 18:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Grubauer
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final