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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 15, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Anaheim Ducks 5, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 59% of the time.

COL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Wilson, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Jost, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 3:07Shot by Ritchie, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:46Shot by Sprong, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 6:54Goal by MacKinnon (Compher, Girard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Cole, Compher, MacKinnon, Girard · ANA Getzlaf, Manson, Lindholm, Ritchie, Sprong

  7. P1 8:20Shot by Girard, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 8:21Shot by Girard, saved by Gibson
  9. P1 9:18Shot by Megna, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 9:37Shot by Sprong, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 10:05Shot by Shore, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 10:15Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 10:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 11:31Shot by Shore, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 11:39Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 11:44Shot by Rakell, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 12:40Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 13:51Shot by Cole, saved by Gibson
  19. P1 14:12Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 14:25Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Gibson
  21. P1 14:41Shot by Agozzino, saved by Gibson
  22. P1 14:44Shot by Wilson, saved by Gibson
  23. P1 15:49Shot by Soderberg, saved by Gibson
  24. P1 16:15Shot by Cole, saved by Gibson
  25. P1 17:42Shot by Ritchie, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 17:44Shot by Ritchie, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 17:49Getzlaf: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Rantanen, Girard · ANA Getzlaf, Holzer, Megna, Ritchie, Sprong

  28. P1 18:10Goal by Rantanen (Barrie, MacKinnon)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · ANA Grant, Manson, Lindholm, Rowney

  29. P1 18:19Ritchie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Kerfoot, Jost · ANA Getzlaf, Fowler, Ritchie, Sprong, Larsson

  30. P1 18:19Calvert: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Kerfoot, Jost · ANA Getzlaf, Fowler, Ritchie, Sprong, Larsson

  31. P1 18:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson4v4
  32. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:53Shot by Brassard, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 2:22Shot by Calvert, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 2:45Shot by Agozzino, saved by Gibson
  37. P2 2:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  38. P2 3:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 3:34Shot by Brassard, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 4:35Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 6:08Goal by Perry (Fowler, Henrique)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Cole, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon · ANA Perry, Henrique, Fowler, Larsson, Terry

  42. P2 7:04Shot by Sprong, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 7:16Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson
  44. P2 7:23Goal by Getzlaf (Sprong, Fowler)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Rantanen, Girard · ANA Getzlaf, Fowler, Ritchie, Sprong, Larsson

  45. P2 8:36Nemeth: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Calvert, Barrie, Agozzino, Nemeth, Kerfoot · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Silfverberg, Fowler, Lindholm, Shore

  46. P2 8:51Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 10:09Shot by Rakell, saved by Varlamov4v5
  48. P2 10:35Shot by Terry, saved by Varlamov4v5
  49. P2 12:09Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Gibson
  50. P2 13:05Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 13:39Shot by Megna, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 13:40Goal by Sprong (Megna, Getzlaf)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Brassard, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · ANA Getzlaf, Holzer, Megna, Ritchie, Sprong

  53. P2 14:51Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 15:36Shot by Terry, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 17:18Shot by Nemeth, saved by Gibson
  56. P2 18:18Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Varlamov
  57. P2 19:20Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson
  58. P2 19:38Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Gibson
  59. P2 19:42Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:36Shot by Grant, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 0:49Shot by Girard, saved by Gibson
  64. P3 1:10Shot by Rakell, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 1:59Shot by Terry, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 3:21Rowney: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Brassard, Cole, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · ANA Grant, Manson, Rakell, Lindholm, Rowney

  67. P3 4:37Shot by Jost, saved by Gibson5v4
  68. P3 4:46Shot by Soderberg, saved by Gibson5v4
  69. P3 5:57Shot by Calvert, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 6:13Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 8:01Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Gibson
  72. P3 8:42Goal by Andrighetto (Cole, Jost)+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Jost · ANA Perry, Holzer, Henrique, Megna, Terry

  73. P3 9:38Shot by Sprong, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 10:09Getzlaf: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brassard, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon, Zadorov · ANA Getzlaf, Manson, Lindholm, Ritchie, Sprong

  75. P3 10:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson5v4
  76. P3 11:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson5v4
  77. P3 11:44Shot by Jost, saved by Gibson5v4
  78. P3 12:30Shot by Girard, saved by Gibson
  79. P3 13:02Shot by Rakell, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 13:10Shot by Larsson, saved by Varlamov
  81. P3 13:19Shot by Larsson, saved by Varlamov
  82. P3 13:27Shot by Zadorov, saved by Gibson
  83. P3 13:40Shot by Calvert, saved by Gibson
  84. P3 13:47Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gibson
  85. P3 14:28Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gibson
  86. P3 15:35Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Gibson
  87. P3 15:47Shot by Manson, saved by Varlamov
  88. P3 16:22Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Varlamov
  89. P3 17:39Rantanen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brassard, Barrie, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · ANA Grant, Manson, Lindholm, Rowney, Jones

  90. P3 17:55Shot by Fowler, saved by Varlamov4v5
  91. P3 19:03Shot by Ritchie, saved by Varlamov4v5
  92. P3 19:03Goal by Perry (Ritchie, Getzlaf)4v5+42 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Compher, Zadorov · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Lindholm, Shore, Ritchie

  93. P3 19:37Goal by Lindholm (Manson)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Brassard, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · ANA Getzlaf, Silfverberg, Manson, Rakell, Lindholm

  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final