Fri, Mar 15, 2019·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 013 | 04 | 214 | 02 | 2 | 333 |
| VAN | 06 | 110 | 110 | 01 | 1 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:18VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Bo Horvat · Snap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P3 1:42VANTanner PearsonAssists: Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P3 5:41NJDKevin RooneyAssists: Connor Carrick, Kenny Agostino · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–2
- P3 13:34NJDStefan NoesenAssists: Eric Tangradi, Will Butcher · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Elias Pettersson scored
- 2. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 3. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 4. NJD Drew Stafford scored
- 5. VAN Tanner Pearson stopped
- 6. NJD Blake Coleman stopped
- 7. VAN Alexander Edler stopped
- 8. NJD Kenny Agostino stopped
- 9. VAN Bo Horvat stopped
- 10. NJD Stefan Noesen stopped
- 11. VAN Nikolay Goldobin stopped
- 12. NJD Travis Zajac stopped
- 13. VAN Markus Granlund stopped
- 14. NJD Damon Severson scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:38VANElias Pettersson: Holding2 min
- P1 9:00NJDBlake Pietila: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:20NJDKurtis Gabriel: Holding2 min
- P2 2:31NJDDrew Stafford: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 16:42NJDBlake Coleman: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:29NJDKurtis Gabriel: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Rooney won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Coleman – Noesen9:40
xG 0.72–0.09 (89%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Agostino – Rooney11:54
xG 0.51–0.31 (62%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Tangradi – Gabriel – McLeod5:21
xG 0.13–0.11 (54%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Stafford – Pietila – Anderson5:57
xG 0.07–0.10 (44%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarrick – Butcher16:04
xG 1.08–0.22 (83%)attempts 19–12goals 2–0
- Santini – White13:32
xG 0.58–0.43 (58%)attempts 9–17goals 0–1
- Greene – Severson13:00
xG 0.31–0.48 (39%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Granlund – Schaller – Motte5:17
xG 0.08–0.04 (68%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Pearson – Virtanen – Gaudette7:59
xG 0.16–0.22 (43%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
- Goldobin – Boeser – Pettersson6:00
xG 0.18–0.29 (37%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Leivo – Horvat7:57
xG 0.31–0.44 (41%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrisebois – Stecher6:15
xG 0.33–0.12 (73%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Biega – Sautner6:20
xG 0.11–0.16 (42%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Biega – Brisebois6:43
xG 0.12–0.20 (38%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).