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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2019·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 52% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:03Shot by Staal, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Sheary, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Nelson, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 2:18Goal by Skinner (Hunwick, Reinhart)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Ferland, Martinook, Pesce, Wallmark · BUF Hunwick, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  6. P1 3:51Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 5:57Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 9:13Shot by Pesce, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 9:31Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 9:37Shot by Skinner, saved by McElhinney
  11. P1 10:13Shot by Slavin, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 12:59Shot by Hamilton, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 13:50Shot by Martinook, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 13:52Goal by Wallmark (Martinook, Pesce)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ferland, Martinook, Pesce, Fleury, Wallmark · BUF Hunwick, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Nelson

  15. P1 14:40Shot by Foegele, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 14:45Shot by Williams, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 16:31Shot by Martinook, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 16:54Martinook: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ferland, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Wallmark · BUF Pominville, Montour, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  19. P1 18:20Shot by McGinn, saved by Ullmark4v5
  20. P1 18:48Shot by Faulk, saved by Ullmark4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:55Shot by Teravainen, saved by Ullmark
  24. P2 1:03Shot by Aho, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 1:07Goal by Svechnikov (Teravainen, Aho)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov · BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  26. P2 1:54Ferland: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR Ferland, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Wallmark · BUF Pominville, Hunwick, Nelson, Thompson, Mittelstadt

  27. P2 1:54Nelson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Ferland, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Wallmark · BUF Pominville, Hunwick, Nelson, Thompson, Mittelstadt

  28. P2 4:15Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  29. P2 4:31Shot by Nylander, saved by McElhinney
  30. P2 5:14Shot by Martinook, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 5:49Shot by Wallmark, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 4:29Shot by Montour, saved by McElhinney
  33. P2 6:33Shot by Foegele, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 7:45Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 7:55Shot by Ristolainen, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 8:18Shot by Fleury, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 9:20Shot by Williams, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 10:29Shot by Thompson, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 11:36Shot by Dahlin, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 12:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 14:49Shot by Montour, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 15:56Shot by Bogosian, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 17:09Goal by Williams (Faulk, Niederreiter)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, van Riemsdyk, Aho · BUF Pominville, Hunwick, Nelson, Thompson, Mittelstadt

  44. P2 17:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by McElhinney
  45. P2 17:55Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 18:31Shot by Teravainen, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 18:37Shot by Hamilton, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 19:40Shot by Girgensons, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 19:59Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:34Shot by Ristolainen, saved by McElhinney
  53. P3 1:34Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by McElhinney
  54. P3 2:15Shot by Foegele, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 2:40Shot by Pesce, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 3:07Bogosian: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, Aho · BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  57. P3 3:45Shot by Williams, saved by Ullmark5v4
  58. P3 5:59Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by McElhinney
  59. P3 6:39Shot by Skinner, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 7:31Shot by Dahlin, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 7:59Shot by Staal, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 8:39van Riemsdyk: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Staal, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Svechnikov · BUF Pominville, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Eichel, Thompson, Mittelstadt

  63. P3 8:42Shot by Reinhart, saved by McElhinney4v5
  64. P3 8:56Shot by Skinner, saved by McElhinney4v5
  65. P3 9:45Shot by Skinner, saved by McElhinney4v5
  66. P3 12:02Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 12:12Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 12:34Shot by Faulk, saved by Ullmark
  69. P3 12:48Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 13:36Shot by Dahlin, saved by McElhinney
  71. P3 14:25Shot by Skinner, saved by McElhinney
  72. P3 15:46Goal by Staal (Ferland, Hamilton)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin · BUF Pominville, Montour, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  73. P3 16:43Shot by Sheary, saved by McElhinney
  74. P3 17:02Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  75. P3 18:59Goal by Girgensons (Montour, Larsson)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McKegg, Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Foegele · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Montour, Dahlin

  76. P3 19:57Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney5v6
  77. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  78. P3 0:00Final5v6