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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2019·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 52% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Reinhart–EichelOkposo–Larsson–GirgensonsSheary–Rodrigues–NylanderPominville–Thompson–MittelstadtPominville–Larsson–GirgensonsBogosian–RistolainenMontour–DahlinHunwick–NelsonRistolainen–DahlinHunwick–MontourHunwick–BogosianRistolainen–MontourMontour–Nelson
Williams–Niederreiter–Aho8:280.42–0.311:430.00–0.031:020.02–0.160:360.00–0.004:180.09–0.026:490.32–0.460:520.02–0.160:500.01–0.00
Staal–Teravainen–Svechnikov2:540.09–0.133:360.16–0.181:140.00–0.003:540.25–0.004:200.08–0.080:430.00–0.18
Ferland–Martinook–Wallmark2:570.00–0.181:170.12–0.172:590.04–0.082:110.03–0.181:200.11–0.044:030.40–0.210:530.00–0.08
McKegg–McGinn–Foegele5:400.33–0.161:380.04–0.004:340.15–0.420:390.00–0.041:550.09–0.000:560.09–0.00
Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov0:370.30–0.010:340.00–0.150:400.00–0.010:340.00–0.15
Martinook–Foegele–Wallmark0:430.11–0.000:320.11–0.00
Niederreiter–Teravainen–Aho0:310.15–0.00
Hamilton–Slavin1:560.43–0.114:520.12–0.265:170.12–0.113:070.23–0.085:020.33–0.288:450.33–0.281:270.00–0.080:320.11–0.001:170.12–0.000:350.00–0.00
Faulk–Pesce11:110.38–0.760:490.09–0.001:340.00–0.430:430.00–0.007:060.19–0.295:040.19–0.380:590.09–0.001:510.01–0.49
van Riemsdyk–Fleury4:290.14–0.121:370.00–0.324:230.04–0.150:300.00–0.004:460.14–0.201:370.10–0.025:200.01–0.280:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FSvechnikov FTeravainen FWilliams FNiederreiter FAho FMartinook FWallmark FFerland FFoegele FMcGinn FMcKegg FPesce DFaulk DSlavin DHamilton DFleury Dvan Riemsdyk DMcElhinney GEichel FReinhart FSkinner FSheary FRodrigues FNylander FPominville FMittelstadt FThompson FOkposo FLarsson FGirgensons FBogosian DRistolainen DMontour DDahlin DNelson DHunwick DUllmark G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2325:341:071:5715
Brandon MontourBUF2123:481:082:0643
Jaccob SlavinCAR2523:020:551:4155
Justin FaulkCAR2622:170:512:0036
Rasmus DahlinBUF1922:131:102:2361
Brett PesceCAR2622:060:511:5337
Sebastian AhoCAR2621:370:502:0935
Zach BogosianBUF2120:571:001:5736
Dougie HamiltonCAR2320:240:531:4953
Jack EichelBUF2220:240:561:3765
Sam ReinhartBUF2119:590:571:4474
Jeff SkinnerBUF2119:180:551:3374
Nino NiederreiterCAR2318:260:482:0935
Justin WilliamsCAR2318:100:472:0946
Trevor van RiemsdykCAR2116:030:461:2002
Johan LarssonBUF2015:320:471:1806
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2115:260:441:3021
Haydn FleuryCAR2015:210:461:2002
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1915:030:481:1105
Evan RodriguesBUF2114:540:431:2063
Lucas WallmarkCAR2014:470:441:1815
Jordan StaalCAR2014:160:432:0322
Conor ShearyBUF2014:150:431:1251
Matt HunwickBUF1913:590:441:1313
Brock McGinnCAR2113:470:391:2333
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1713:410:481:2611
Casey MittelstadtBUF1813:320:451:5510
Kyle OkposoBUF1713:190:471:1104
Jordan MartinookCAR1913:160:421:2114
Jason PominvilleBUF1912:330:401:1420
Warren FoegeleCAR1712:120:431:2630
Micheal FerlandCAR1811:490:391:2125
Alex NylanderBUF1611:190:421:0661
Casey NelsonBUF1411:060:481:1521
Tage ThompsonBUF1711:010:391:0420
Greg McKeggCAR169:290:360:5731