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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Nashville Predators 4, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 58% of the time.

SJS winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Hertl, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:46Shot by Nyquist, saved by Saros
  4. P1 1:07Goal by Sissons (Smith, Jarnkrok)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Ryan, Meier · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Sissons

  5. P1 2:55Shot by Heed, saved by Saros
  6. P1 3:00Irwin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Haley, Dillon, Heed, Goodrow, Karlsson · NSH Boyle, Weber, Irwin, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  7. P1 4:53Shot by Thornton, saved by Saros5v4
  8. P1 5:02Shot by Ellis, saved by Jones
  9. P1 5:59Goodrow: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Braun, Haley, Dillon, Goodrow, Karlsson · NSH Subban, Simmonds, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund

  10. P1 5:59Haley: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Braun, Haley, Dillon, Goodrow, Karlsson · NSH Subban, Simmonds, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund

  11. P1 5:59Simmonds: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: SJS Braun, Haley, Dillon, Goodrow, Karlsson · NSH Subban, Simmonds, Ekholm, Smith, Granlund

  12. P1 6:07Shot by Subban, saved by Jones4v5
  13. P1 6:08Shot by Boyle, saved by Jones4v5
  14. P1 6:16Johansen: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun, Sorensen · NSH Boyle, Subban, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson

  15. P1 7:14Shot by Kane, saved by Saros4v4
  16. P1 7:47Shot by Ekholm, saved by Jones4v4
  17. P1 7:48Shot by Ekholm, saved by Jones4v4
  18. P1 7:50Shot by Forsberg, saved by Jones4v4
  19. P1 10:51Shot by Hertl, saved by Saros
  20. P1 11:06Shot by Ellis, saved by Jones
  21. P1 11:42Shot by Subban, saved by Jones
  22. P1 11:54Shot by Haley, saved by Saros
  23. P1 12:54Shot by Smith, saved by Jones
  24. P1 13:03Shot by Ekholm, saved by Jones
  25. P1 15:55Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
  26. P1 16:46Shot by Thornton, saved by Saros
  27. P1 17:38Shot by Johansen, saved by Jones
  28. P1 17:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Jones
  29. P1 19:40Shot by Meier, saved by Saros
  30. P1 19:59Shot by Josi, saved by Jones
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 2:36Shot by Simmonds, saved by Jones
  34. P2 2:58Shot by Subban, saved by Jones
  35. P2 3:49Shot by Braun, saved by Saros
  36. P2 4:07Shot by Ryan, saved by Saros
  37. P2 4:09Goal by Meier (Pavelski, Ryan)+21 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Ryan, Meier · NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, Sissons

  38. P2 4:33Goal by Arvidsson (Forsberg)+21 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Pavelski, Braun, Couture, Dillon, Meier · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  39. P2 5:42Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Jones
  40. P2 6:25Shot by Nyquist, saved by Saros
  41. P2 7:09Sissons: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burns, Nyquist, Kane, Hertl, Ryan · NSH Weber, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, Sissons

  42. P2 6:47Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  43. P2 9:34Shot by Boyle, saved by Jones
  44. P2 9:48Shot by Goodrow, saved by Saros
  45. P2 10:56Shot by Couture, saved by Saros
  46. P2 11:03Shot by Pavelski, saved by Saros
  47. P2 12:59Thornton: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Sorensen, Ryan, Labanc · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons, Arvidsson

  48. P2 12:59Sissons: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Sorensen, Ryan, Labanc · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons, Arvidsson

  49. P2 13:40Shot by Ellis, saved by Jones4v4
  50. P2 16:17Shot by Kane, saved by Saros
  51. P2 16:36Josi: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Heed, Meier · NSH Boyle, Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  52. P2 16:36Meier: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Heed, Meier · NSH Boyle, Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  53. P2 17:36Goal by Thornton (Burns, Vlasic)4v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Vlasic, Labanc · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Granlund, Arvidsson

  54. P2 19:38Shot by Hertl, saved by Saros
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:08Shot by Josi, saved by Jones
  58. P3 1:39Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
  59. P3 3:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Saros
  60. P3 4:41Shot by Sissons, saved by Jones
  61. P3 5:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Saros
  62. P3 6:59Shot by Irwin, saved by Jones
  63. P3 7:02Goal by Forsberg (Irwin, Johansen)+29 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Pavelski, Couture, Dillon, Heed, Meier · NSH Weber, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  64. P3 8:04Shot by Braun, saved by Saros
  65. P3 8:51Shot by Granlund, saved by Jones
  66. P3 9:01Shot by Josi, saved by Jones
  67. P3 10:00Shot by Ellis, saved by Jones
  68. P3 10:36Shot by Sissons, saved by Jones
  69. P3 11:00Labanc: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Sorensen, Ryan, Labanc · NSH Boyle, Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  70. P3 11:48Shot by Simmonds, saved by Jones4v5
  71. P3 18:54Goal by Arvidsson (Bonino)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Kane, Heed, Hertl · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Arvidsson

  72. P3 19:56Shot by Haley, saved by Saros
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final