Thu, Mar 21, 2019·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Arizona Coyotes 2, Florida Panthers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 112 | 06 | 116 | 234 |
| FLA | 19 | 16 | 27 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:45ARIMichael GrabnerSHAssists: Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 19:45FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Evgenii Dadonov · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 10:55FLAMike HoffmanPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Keith Yandle · Slap, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 5:09FLAMacKenzie WeegarGWGAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Evgenii Dadonov · Snap, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 17:34ARIBrad RichardsonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–3
- P3 19:10FLAAleksander BarkovENAssists: Frank Vatrano · Backhand, 0.75 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:37ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:17ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Interference2 min
- P2 9:52ARIConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 13:05FLAMike Hoffman: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:38FLAVincent Trocheck: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sheahan won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPanik – Dvorak – Keller12:01
xG 0.51–0.26 (66%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza10:37
xG 0.33–0.25 (57%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Kempe – Archibald – Crouse6:53
xG 0.13–0.06 (68%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Garland9:10
xG 0.28–0.39 (42%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Demers13:06
xG 0.37–0.07 (84%)attempts 10–5goals 0–1
- Oesterle – Chychrun15:12
xG 0.73–0.64 (53%)attempts 18–13goals 0–1
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson15:28
xG 0.39–0.56 (41%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- McGinn – Sceviour – Borgstrom5:51
xG 0.17–0.13 (58%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Brouwer – Sheahan – Vatrano9:39
xG 0.22–0.32 (40%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov12:26
xG 0.34–0.45 (43%)attempts 8–14goals 2–0
- Hoffman – Trocheck – Hawryluk11:23
xG 0.10–0.34 (23%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPysyk – Brown12:08
xG 0.71–0.37 (66%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Matheson – Ekblad17:47
xG 0.31–0.33 (49%)attempts 16–15goals 1–0
- Yandle – Weegar14:31
xG 0.31–0.57 (36%)attempts 5–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).