Sat, Mar 23, 2019·Prudential Center, Newark
Arizona Coyotes 1, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 111 | 07 | 05 | 01 | 1 | 124 |
| NJD | 18 | 010 | 012 | 02 | 2 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:31ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 17:01NJDDrew StaffordAssists: Pavel Zacha, Miles Wood · Snap, 0.02 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 2. ARI Nick Cousins stopped
- 3. NJD Drew Stafford stopped
- 4. ARI Alex Galchenyuk stopped
- 5. NJD Damon Severson stopped
- 6. ARI Vinnie Hinostroza stopped
- 7. NJD Nico Hischier stopped
- 8. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 9. NJD Blake Coleman scored
- 10. ARI Conor Garland scored
- 11. NJD Pavel Zacha scored
- 12. ARI Richard Panik stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 13:42NJDKenny Agostino: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 2:05ARINick Cousins: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:51ARIVinnie Hinostroza: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:55ARINick Cousins: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:22NJDMichael McLeod: Interference2 min
- P2 13:58ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:17ARIDarcy Kuemper: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 0:55NJDKyle Palmieri: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Rooney won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPanik – Dvorak – Keller9:22
xG 0.52–0.35 (59%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Garland8:07
xG 0.24–0.09 (74%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza8:42
xG 0.34–0.30 (53%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Stepan – Archibald – Crouse9:15
xG 0.35–0.79 (31%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOesterle – Chychrun13:48
xG 0.84–0.39 (69%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun2:18
xG 0.24–0.16 (59%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson12:39
xG 0.31–0.66 (32%)attempts 11–12goals 1–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestQuenneville – Rooney – McLeod8:53
xG 0.70–0.29 (71%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Noesen9:21
xG 0.33–0.26 (56%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Palmieri – Agostino – Hischier9:09
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Stafford – Wood – Zacha9:32
xG 0.31–0.47 (39%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson12:36
xG 0.77–0.35 (69%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Mueller13:49
xG 0.69–0.66 (51%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Carrick – Santini13:33
xG 0.55–0.73 (43%)attempts 7–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).