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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 27, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Vegas Golden Knights 3, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 73% of the time.

COL winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Nemeth, saved by Subban
  3. P1 1:56Brassard: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brassard, Calvert, Nemeth, Zadorov, Jost · VGK Eakin, Merrill, Stone, Miller, Carpenter

  4. P1 2:34Shot by Nieto, saved by Subban4v5
  5. P1 4:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Subban
  6. P1 5:39Goal by Calvert (Jost, Barrie)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Brassard, Cole, Calvert, Jost · VGK Stastny, McNabb, Theodore, Nosek, Tuch

  7. P1 6:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 6:54Stastny: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Brassard, Calvert, Jost, Girard · VGK Stastny, McNabb, Theodore, Nosek, Tuch

  9. P1 7:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Subban5v4
  10. P1 8:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Subban5v4
  11. P1 8:37Goal by MacKinnon (Barrie, Kerfoot)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon · VGK Engelland, McNabb, Smith, Bellemare

  12. P1 9:21Shot by Nieto, saved by Subban
  13. P1 10:25Shot by McNabb, saved by Grubauer
  14. P1 10:28Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 10:42Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 10:48Shot by Engelland, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 10:53Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 11:49Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 14:35Shot by Soderberg, saved by Subban
  20. P1 16:38Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Subban
  21. P1 17:45Shot by Miller, saved by Grubauer
  22. P1 18:22Shot by Zadorov, saved by Subban
  23. P1 19:13Shot by Agozzino, saved by Subban
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:23Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  27. P2 0:45Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 1:14Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Subban
  29. P2 2:08Shot by Zadorov, saved by Subban
  30. P2 2:35Shot by Agozzino, saved by Subban
  31. P2 2:51Shot by Engelland, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 4:21Shot by Jost, saved by Subban
  33. P2 4:35Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 5:12Shot by Carpenter, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 7:04Shot by Compher, saved by Subban
  36. P2 7:18Goal by Barrie (Soderberg)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wilson, Barrie, Andrighetto, Zadorov · VGK Stastny, McNabb, Theodore, Nosek, Tuch

  37. P2 8:41Shot by Bourque, saved by Subban
  38. P2 9:02Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Subban
  39. P2 9:34Shot by Reaves, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 10:08Marchessault: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Andrighetto, Girard · VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault

  41. P2 10:08Andrighetto: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Andrighetto, Girard · VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault

  42. P2 10:08Marchessault: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Andrighetto, Girard · VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault

  43. P2 10:08Andrighetto: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Andrighetto, Girard · VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault

  44. P2 10:41Shot by Cole, saved by Subban
  45. P2 10:57Goal by Stastny (Merrill, Tuch)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Brassard, Calvert, Jost, Girard · VGK Stastny, Merrill, Stone, Miller, Tuch

  46. P2 14:02Shot by Theodore, saved by Grubauer
  47. P2 13:59Shot by McNabb, saved by Grubauer
  48. P2 14:35Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer
  49. P2 14:46Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  50. P2 14:47Goal by Smith (Karlsson, Marchessault)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brassard, Calvert, Nemeth, Zadorov, Jost · VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault

  51. P2 17:06Shot by Bourque, saved by Subban
  52. P2 17:10Goal by Bourque (Zadorov, MacKinnon)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, MacKinnon, Zadorov · VGK Reaves, McNabb, Theodore, Carrier, Bellemare

  53. P2 17:51Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer
  54. P2 19:38Shot by Schmidt, saved by Grubauer
  55. P2 19:51Kerfoot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Girard · VGK Engelland, Stastny, Stone, Schmidt, Tuch

  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:19Shot by Miller, saved by Grubauer4v5
  59. P3 2:55Shot by Barrie, saved by Subban
  60. P3 5:00Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 6:24Shot by Brassard, saved by Subban
  62. P3 6:25Shot by Brassard, saved by Subban
  63. P3 6:47Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 8:29Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 8:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Subban
  66. P3 11:45Engelland: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Zadorov · VGK Engelland, Reaves, Schmidt, Carrier, Bellemare

  67. P3 12:57Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer5v4
  68. P3 13:41Shot by Brassard, saved by Subban5v4
  69. P3 14:29Shot by Cole, saved by Subban
  70. P3 14:43Shot by Wilson, saved by Subban
  71. P3 16:18Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  72. P3 16:35Shot by Stastny, saved by Grubauer
  73. P3 16:34Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  74. P3 16:37Goal by Tuch (Stastny, Stone)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Bourque, Nemeth, Jost · VGK Stastny, Merrill, Stone, Schmidt, Tuch

  75. P3 16:36Shot by Stastny, saved by Grubauer
  76. P3 17:11Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  77. P3 19:16Shot by Tuch, saved by Grubauer5v6
  78. P3 19:17Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer5v6
  79. P3 19:52Shot by Marchessault, saved by Grubauer5v6
  80. P3 19:52MacKinnon: Holding the stick (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Nieto, MacKinnon · VGK Stastny, Stone, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch

  81. P3 19:56Shot by Miller, saved by Grubauer4v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  83. P3 0:00Final4v6