Thu, Mar 28, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 5, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 314 | 25 | 08 | 527 |
| SJS | 19 | 312 | 09 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:10CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Backhand, 0.45 xG1–0
- P1 6:19CHIConnor MurphyAssists: Brandon Saad, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P1 10:59CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Brandon Saad, Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–0
- P1 11:59SJSLukas RadilAssists: Tomas Hertl, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 2:33SJSGustav NyquistPPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Kevin Labanc · Snap, 0.15 xG3–2
- P2 4:21CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Dylan Strome, Dominik Kahun · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–2
- P2 6:29SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Logan Couture · Tip-in, 0.31 xG4–3
- P2 16:06SJSTimo MeierAssists: Logan Couture, Gustav Nyquist · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–4
- P2 18:08CHIChris KunitzGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Erik Gustafsson · Deflected, 0.11 xG5–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:33SJSMarcus Sorensen: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P1 3:16SJSBrent Burns: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:27CHIBrent Seabrook: Interference2 min
- P1 17:53CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:42CHISlater Koekkoek: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:46CHIBrent Seabrook: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 5:22CHIConnor Murphy: Closing hand on puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Saad – Sikura10:51
xG 0.79–0.18 (82%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Kunitz – Kruger – Kampf6:57
xG 0.16–0.08 (65%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – DeBrincat6:38
xG 0.06–0.07 (47%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat2:14
xG 0.03–0.08 (24%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Koekkoek8:37
xG 0.46–0.20 (70%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
- Keith – Gustafsson18:36
xG 0.67–0.42 (61%)attempts 13–13goals 2–1
- Seabrook – Forsling6:15
xG 0.05–0.11 (31%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Donskoi – Hertl5:07
xG 0.30–0.13 (69%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Goodrow – Karlsson4:42
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Couture – Nyquist – Meier10:27
xG 0.18–0.28 (40%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Karlsson – Radil2:16
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun5:11
xG 0.44–0.17 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Burns – Ryan7:07
xG 0.33–0.07 (82%)attempts 9–3goals 1–1
- Vlasic – Heed5:05
xG 0.25–0.11 (70%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).