Sun, Mar 31, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Minnesota Wild 0, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 011 | 012 | 016 | 039 |
| ARI | 18 | 17 | 28 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:48ARIAlex GalchenyukGWGAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Nick Cousins · Wrist, 0.36 xG0–1
- P2 19:17ARIJosh ArchibaldAssists: Jason Demers, Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P3 18:10ARIJosh ArchibaldENAssists: Lawson Crouse · Wrist, 0.76 xG0–3
- P3 19:51ARIVinnie HinostrozaENAssists: Josh Archibald · Wrist, 0.71 xG0–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:17MINJordan Greenway: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 13:58ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:29MINRyan Suter: Interference2 min
- P2 3:41ARIRichard Panik: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 10:30ARIJason Demers: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:25MINLuke Kunin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Staal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestRask – Fiala – Greenway7:07
xG 0.87–0.68 (56%)attempts 16–5goals 0–1
- Donato – Eriksson Ek – Kunin6:39
xG 0.39–0.33 (54%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Fehr – Foligno – Brown4:14
xG 0.05–0.01 (82%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Staal – Zucker – Read7:37
xG 0.28–0.27 (51%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPateryn – Seeler10:13
xG 0.56–0.36 (60%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Brodin – Hunt15:09
xG 0.52–0.50 (51%)attempts 22–12goals 0–0
- Suter – Spurgeon16:49
xG 0.74–1.14 (39%)attempts 24–15goals 0–2
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Panik – Keller9:42
xG 0.55–0.10 (85%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Garland6:03
xG 0.70–0.64 (52%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza10:55
xG 0.20–0.35 (37%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
- Archibald – Dvorak – Crouse8:28
xG 0.28–0.56 (33%)attempts 3–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson13:57
xG 0.78–0.34 (69%)attempts 15–19goals 2–0
- Demers – Oesterle3:08
xG 0.24–0.02 (92%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson11:43
xG 0.74–0.71 (51%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).